Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 272146
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
330 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...
NO MAJOR CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE FORECAST.  ONE MORE WARM DAY
ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE EFFECTS OF WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON COLD FRONT BRING
MAXIMA BACK TO VALUES NEAR CLIMO ON THURSDAY.  NOTABLY COOLER
CONDITIONS EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH DAILY MAXIMA MOSTLY
IN THE 30S.

DRY CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...WITH CLOUDS AND
ISENTROPIC LIFT INCREASING THEREAFTER THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
MEANWHILE...DEEP MOISTURE IS SET IN AN UPWARD MOTION AS SOUTHWEST
MID- AND UPPER-LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE DIVERGENT AND ENERGIZED.  HAVE
CONTINUED WITH HEFTY POPS FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH LOW POPS
SATURDAY NIGHT.  PASSAGE OF MID-LEVEL TROF KEEPS LATER PERIODS DRY.

HAVE MADE SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS TO PRECIPITATION TYPE FORECAST.
SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS STILL LOOK TO REMAIN ALL LIQUID THROUGH
SATURDAY...BUT HAVE ADDED POSSIBILITY OF SNOW FOR SATURDAY NIGHT.
NORTHWESTERN SECTIONS STILL LOOK TO BE ALL SNOW BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...BUT HAVE BROUGHT ALL SNOW INTO SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.  STILL REMAINS DIFFICULT TO
PIN DOWN LARGE SWATH ENCOMPASSING REMAINING SECTIONS...BUT HAVE
BROUGHT TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW THROUGH WESTERN HALF OF FORECAST
AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.  CURRENT SNOWFALL TOTALS OF ONE TO FOUR INCHES
ARE FORECAST NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM HEREFORD TO BORGER TO BEAVER.
FURTHER REFINEMENTS WILL BE MADE AS SYSTEM BECOMES BETTER SAMPLED
BY UPPER AIR NETWORK.

COCKRELL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                42  71  36  52  29 /   0   0   0   0  10
BEAVER OK                  37  74  35  53  28 /   0   0   0   0   5
BOISE CITY OK              39  67  33  49  29 /   0   0   0   0   5
BORGER TX                  45  73  39  54  31 /   0   0   0   0   5
BOYS RANCH TX              41  71  33  52  30 /   0   0   0   0  10
CANYON TX                  41  71  36  52  30 /   0   0   0   0  10
CLARENDON TX               44  74  39  56  31 /   0   0   0   0   5
DALHART TX                 34  69  32  51  30 /   0   0   0   0  10
GUYMON OK                  37  72  35  52  30 /   0   0   0   0   5
HEREFORD TX                42  71  35  53  30 /   0   0   0   0  10
LIPSCOMB TX                41  73  38  54  30 /   0   0   0   0   5
PAMPA TX                   40  70  35  52  29 /   0   0   0   0   5
SHAMROCK TX                41  75  39  56  32 /   0   0   0   0   5
WELLINGTON TX              42  78  40  59  34 /   0   0   0   0   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

18/03




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