Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 232121
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
421 PM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Noteworthy items for this forecast package are limited with no real
high impact weather. There is of course several chances for
thunderstorms with Tuesday being the only real dry period. Some
storms could be strong, but severe weather does not look likely over
the next several days. In the near term, Thursday could possibly see
some strong to marginally severe storms. Outside of this,
temperatures will be right around normal for this time of year.

Satellite trend this afternoon has shown a CU field developing over
parts of the forecast area. Forcing is very weak with limited shear
and instability. Any thunderstorms that form should be below severe
criteria. Storms will also be slow movers which could lead to
possible localized moderate to heavy rainfall in some areas. The
HRRR has been consistently hinting at convection this afternoon
across the Texas Panhandle. Showers are forming east of Amarillo
and are anticipated to start filling in more across the forecast
area, mainly southern parts of the Texas Panhandle.

Tuesday in the only dry period--outside of small chances to the
northwest--during this entire forecast package. Otherwise,
thunderstorms are possible each day, but little to no shear will
be our main limiting factor, especially during the afternoon
hours. We could see changes in the future forecast packages, but
at this time severe weather does not look favorable next week.

Guerrero

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                92  67  93  68  93 /  40  30  30  30   5
Beaver OK                  95  67  99  71  98 /  20  20  20  20  10
Boise City OK              90  64  92  64  93 /  20  20  20  20  10
Borger TX                  96  72  97  74  98 /  40  30  30  20   5
Boys Ranch TX              94  69  97  70  97 /  30  30  30  20   5
Canyon TX                  93  66  92  67  93 /  40  40  30  30   5
Clarendon TX               94  69  93  69  95 /  40  40  40  30   5
Dalhart TX                 95  65  95  65  95 /  20  20  30  20  10
Guymon OK                  94  67  97  69  98 /  20  20  20  20   5
Hereford TX                94  67  93  67  94 /  40  30  30  30   5
Lipscomb TX                96  69  96  71  98 /  40  40  30  20  10
Pampa TX                   94  69  95  70  97 /  40  40  30  20   5
Shamrock TX                98  70  95  71  97 /  40  40  30  30   5
Wellington TX              98  70  94  70  98 /  40  30  40  30   5

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

99/99



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