000
FXUS64 KAMA 202100
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
400 PM CDT SUN JUL 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND

VERY FEW CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE FORECAST AS A GENERALLY HOT AND
DRY WEEK IS IN STORE THANKS IN LARGE PART TO THE ARRIVAL OF MID
SUMMER UPR LEVEL RIDGING. THIS UPR RIDGE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO H85
TEMPS PUSHING WELL ABOVE 30C BY FRI/SAT. MIX DOWN TECHNIQUES YIELD
AROUND 100-104 FRI AND SAT IN MOST AREAS AND SOME DOWNRIGHT
SWELTERING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS GREEN VEGETATION
EVAPOTRANSPIRATES AND SUPPLIES A BIT OF EXTRA MOISTURE, NOT ALLOWING
DEWPTS TO FALL AS MUCH AS WE WOULD SEE IN BROWN CONDITIONS. THOUGH
FRI AND SAT MAY BE THE HOTTEST DAYS, IT WILL BE HOT ALL WEEK AROUND
HERE WITH HIGHS WELL INTO THE 90S TO NEAR 100.

THERE ARE A FEW SMALL RAIN CHANCES, MOSTLY CONFINED TO THE WESTERN
AND NORTHWESTERN PANHANDLES. THE "BEST" (NOTICE THE QUOTES) CHANCES
WILL BE THIS EVENING, MON EVENING, AND FRI NIGHT IN THESE AREAS.
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED, BUT GUSTY WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN ANY LATE AFTERNOON ACTIVITY AS SFC T/TD SPREADS PUSH
35-45F THIS WEEK.

THIS UPR RIDGE MAY NOT HANG AROUND ALL THAT LONG AS THERE ARE STRONG
INDICATIONS AN IMPRESSIVE UPR LEVEL WAVE WILL SQUASH THE TOP OF THE
RIDGE AND THEN PUNT IT BACK WEST BY THE END OF NEXT WEEKEND. THAT
MEANS NW FLOW/COLD FRONTS ARE COMING BACK AND MAYBE EVEN SOME MORE
RAIN CHANCES.

SIMPSON
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                70  97  69  98  70 /   5   5  10   5  10
BEAVER OK                  71 101  71 102  72 /   5   5  10   5  10
BOISE CITY OK              66  97  66  97  66 /  20  20  20  10  10
BORGER TX                  73 100  73 100  75 /   5   5  10   5  10
BOYS RANCH TX              68  98  68  98  69 /  20  20  20  10  10
CANYON TX                  69  97  69  98  69 /   5   5  10   5  10
CLARENDON TX               71  98  71 100  71 /   5   5   5   5  10
DALHART TX                 66  99  67  99  67 /  20  20  20  10  10
GUYMON OK                  70 102  70 102  71 /   5  10  20  10  10
HEREFORD TX                69  96  69  97  69 /  20  10  10  10  10
LIPSCOMB TX                71  99  71 100  72 /   5   5   5   5  10
PAMPA TX                   70  98  71  99  71 /   5   5   5   5  10
SHAMROCK TX                72  98  72 100  72 /   5   5   5   5  10
WELLINGTON TX              73  99  73 101  73 /   5   5   5   5  10

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

03/09