000
FXUS64 KAMA 060917
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
317 AM CST FRI DEC 6 2013

.DISCUSSION...
LAST BIT OF ORGANIZED SNOW IS LEAVING THE SOUTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE.
WE WILL DROP THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WITH THIS ISSUANCE OF THE
FORECAST. FLURRIES WILL BE POSSIBLE ON AND OFF THROUGH MUCH OF THE
DAY ACROSS A LOT OF THE AREA. IT WON/T TAKE MUCH TO SQUEEZE SOME
FLURRIES OUT OF THIS ARCTIC AIR MASS...ESPECIALLY WITH A LITTLE
LIFT MOVING ACROSS IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE
TROUGH.

WINDS WILL MAINLY REMAIN UNDER 10 MPH THROUGH THIS EVENING.
HOWEVER...WINDS WILL START TO PICK UP ABOVE 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TOWARD SUNRISE SATURDAY ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND THE WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. WE MAY NEED A
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

THIS ARCTIC AIR MASS DOES NOT MODIFY UNTIL SUNDAY WHEN SOUTHWEST
WINDS INCREASE AHEAD OF ANOTHER SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR. NOT SURE IF
THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND THE NORTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE WILL HAVE
MUCH MODIFICATION...ESPECIALLY IF THIS FRONT MOVES FASTER THAN WHAT
WE ARE THINKING. FOR NOW HAVE GONE WITH THE GFS TIMING WHICH IS THE
FASTEST RIGHT NOW. SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN CWA IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS FRONT ON SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY...HOWEVER THE CHANCES LOOK TO BE DIMINISHING.

THIS NEW ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL BE JUST AS COLD IF NOT A LITTLE
COLDER THAN OUR CURRENT ONE.  BUT IT LOOKS LIKE THE AIR MASS WILL
MODIFY QUICKER AS A NORTHWEST TO EVENTUALLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT
ENCOURAGES A LEE-SIDE TROUGH TO DEVELOP WHICH WILL BRING DOWNSLOPE
SOUTHWEST WINDS BACK INTO THE AREA BY TUESDAY AND ESPECIALLY
THURSDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE WEEKEND AS EITHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 20
PERCENT AND/OR 20-FOOT WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 15 MPH.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                17   4  16   9  38 /   0   0  10  10   5
BEAVER OK                  19   1  20  11  22 /   0   0  10  20  20
BOISE CITY OK              13   3  18   9  23 /   5   5  10  20  20
BORGER TX                  20   6  18   8  38 /   0   0  10  10  10
BOYS RANCH TX              19   8  19  15  39 /   5   5  10  10   5
CANYON TX                  20   4  18  11  38 /   0   5  10  10   5
CLARENDON TX               22   6  17   9  35 /   0   0  10  10   5
DALHART TX                 16   4  18  12  30 /   5   5  10  20  10
GUYMON OK                  15   3  14  10  23 /   5   0  10  20  10
HEREFORD TX                20   5  17  13  36 /   0   5  10  10   5
LIPSCOMB TX                22  -1  21  10  24 /   0   0  10  20  10
PAMPA TX                   18   4  14   9  30 /   0   0  10  10  10
SHAMROCK TX                25   5  20  10  29 /   5   0  10  10   5
WELLINGTON TX              25   5  20  10  27 /   5   0  10  10   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

11/15