Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 261727
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1227 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF CYCLE
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL AT ALL THREE TAF SITES THROUGH
18Z SUNDAY. CONVECTION MAY IMPACT THE DALHART AND GUYMON TAF SITES
BETWEEN ABOUT 20Z TODAY AND 05Z SUNDAY. THEREFORE...WILL INCLUDE A
VCTS FOR NOW AT BOTH TAF SITES. A TEMPO GROUPS MAY BE NEEDED LATER.
SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL BECOME NORTHERLY 5 TO
10 KNOTS BETWEEN 05Z AND 10Z SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.
WINDS WILL THEN BECOME NORTHEAST AND EAST 10 TO 15 KNOTS AFTER 14Z TO
15Z SUNDAY.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 529 AM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014/

AVIATION...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GET GUSTY AT THE AMA TAF SITE BY MID MORNING AND
THESE GUSTY WINDS SHOULD LAST UNTIL ABOUT SUNSET. SOME MID LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL START TO INCREASE THIS EVENING AT AMA.

A SURFACE TROUGH WILL SET UP NEAR THE DHT AND GUY TAF SITES THIS
AFTERNOON...THIS TROUGH WILL HELP TO DECREASE THE WINDS TO AROUND 10
KNOTS. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY MOVE CLOSE TO THE DHT AND GUY TAF
SITES THIS EVENING...BUT WILL NOT MENTION AT THIS TIME SINCE COVERAGE
IS EXPECTED TO BE SPARSE. WINDS WILL SHIFT AROUND TO THE NORTH AROUND
OR JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH A COLD FRONT. SKIES WILL REMAIN VFR.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 445 AM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014/

DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE PARKED OVER THE SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE WILL BE
RESPONSIBLE FOR ONE MORE HOT DAY. TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN BE VERY
CLOSE TO OR ABOVE RECORDS. HAVE GONE AHEAD AND ISSUED A HEAT
ADVISORY FOR PALO DURO CANYON AND PARTS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
PANHANDLE AND THE CENTRAL OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
MAY TRY TO SNEAK INTO THE NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF THE CWA BY LATE
AFTERNOON AND THEN SOME OF THE STORMS MAY TRY TO PUSH FURTHER SOUTH
WITH THE HELP OF A COLD FRONT.

PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH MUCH
OF THIS FORECAST BEYOND SUNDAY. THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH BUILDS BACK
TO THE 4 CORNERS REGION BY SUNDAY NIGHT WHILE AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CARVES ITSELF OUT OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE COUNTRY. THIS WILL
PUT THE PANHANDLES IN NORTHWEST FLOW. SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES ALONG WITH AN OCCASIONAL COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH
ACROSS THE REGION TO HELP SET OFF THESE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THE RAIN MAY GET HEAVY AT TIMES DURING THE
UPCOMING WEEK...SO FLOODING MAY BE A CONCERN. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL ALSO NOT BE OUT OF THE QUESTION.

TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE TRICKY THIS WEEK. SOME OF THE HIGHS
DURING THE MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK MAY BE A LITTLE ON THE WARM
SIDE...SO WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF WE CONTINUE TO EDGE THESE
TEMPERATURES DOWNWARD WITH TIME.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ARMSTRONG...HANSFORD...HUTCHINSON...OCHILTREE...
     RANDALL...ROBERTS.

OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: TEXAS.


&&

$$

11/05




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