Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 201111 AAA
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
511 AM CST Mon Nov 20 2017

.AVIATION...
At AMA, southwest winds will prevail at speeds around 15 knots
today. Winds will decrease with sunset to 10 knots or less and
then a cold front will move through switching the winds around to
the northwest late in this forecast.

At GUY and DHT, southwest to west winds at speeds around 10 knots
or less will prevail through this evening and then a cold front
will move through around midnight switching the winds around to
the northwest.

Skies are expected to remain VFR at all sites.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 219 AM CST Mon Nov 20 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Fairly benign weather expected across the Panhandles for the next
seven days. We will see temperatures warm into the 70s area wide
with light southerly winds. A cold front is on track to sweep
across the Panhandles late tonight into Tuesday morning. While
our temperatures will run roughly ten degrees cooler compared to
Today`s highs, we will still be a few degrees above average for
late November. It will also be a bit breezy behind the front as
our northerly winds reach into the 20 to 25 mph range. Our breezy
conditions will quickly diminish during the evening hours and we
will see our surface winds shift out of the east as the post-
frontal surface high shifts east of the Panhandles.

A gradual warming trends Wednesday through Friday will see our
high temperatures go from struggling to reach the 70 degree mark
to reaching well into the upper 70s. Friday could be starting out
a bit breezy before a surface low moves out of northeast New
Mexico and into the Panhandles which will lower our winds to
weaken quiet a bit. Following this surface low will be yet another
cold front which will knock out highs back into the mid to lower
60s for the weekend.

FIRE WEATHER...
Neither elevated nor critical fire weather conditions are expected
on Monday across the Panhandles. Spotty elevated fire weather
conditions may be possible across the far southwestern portion of
the Texas Panhandle. Our winds are expected to reach into the 20
to 25 mph out of the north as our relative humidities drop to
around 20 percent. These conditions are not expected to last very
long as out temperatures will cool quickly behind as southward
moving cold front. Neither elevated nor critical fire weather
conditions are expected Wednesday or Thursday. Friday could hold
fire weather concerns as our afternoon relative humidities drop
into the teens. The question will be if the surface low over
northeastern New Mexico moves over the Panhandles prior to peak
heating to lower our winds. If this is delayed or the low moves
more northerly then we could see fire weather concerns.

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

15/14


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