000
FXUS64 KAMA 171054
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
554 AM CDT MON JUN 17 2013

.DISCUSSION...
THE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
FAVORABLE WNW TO NW FLOW ALOFT COUPLED WITH RESIDUAL BOUNDARIES FROM
PREVIOUS TSTM COMPLEX...A WEAK COLD FRONT SETTLING SWD THRU THE
AREA...LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW...SUFFICIENT MOISTURE...FAST MOVG
MINOR UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROFS GRAZING THE FCST AREA...AND
ADEQUATE ATMOSPHERIC INSTABILITY SUGGESTS THREAT FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF
SHOWERS AND TSTMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND THEN AGAIN
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. SLGT CHC TO HIGH CHC POPS FOR THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. USED AREAL QUALIFIER DESCRIPTIVE WORDING FOR
THE FIRST TWO PERIODS OF THE FCST PCKG. CHC POPS FOR TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT AS WELL ACROSS THE PNHDLS. SVR THREAT AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN POTENTIAL ARE BOTH PRESENT THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND THEN
AGAIN TUE AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS.

LATEST MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO HINT THAT THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS
BEGINNING WED AND PERSISTING INTO THE WEEKEND. ISOLD TSTMS MAY OCCUR
AROUND THE WRN AND NRN PERIPHERY OF THIS RIDGE WED THRU THE WEEKEND
TO SOME DEGREE. HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON THIS SCENARIO WITH
RESPECT TO WHEN...WHERE...OR EVEN IF STORMS WILL DEVELOP DURG THIS
TIME PERIOD SO HAVE MAINTAINED INTEGRITY OF PREVIOUS PCKG BY
CONTINUING TO KEEP POPS BELOW MENTIONABLE AFTER TUE NIGHT AT THIS
TIME. TEMPS REBOUNDING TO ABV NORMAL VALUES BEGINNING WED AND LASTING
THRU THE END OF THE WEEK.

ANDRADE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NEITHER ELEVATED NOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED
THIS WEEK.

ANDRADE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                89  63  83  65  94 /  20  50  30  40   5
BEAVER OK                  88  64  85  64  94 /  20  50  30  40  10
BOISE CITY OK              87  62  82  61  93 /  20  50  30  40  10
BORGER TX                  91  67  86  67  94 /  20  50  30  40  10
BOYS RANCH TX              90  62  83  65  95 /  20  50  30  40   5
CANYON TX                  89  63  83  64  94 /  20  50  30  40   5
CLARENDON TX               91  66  85  67  95 /  20  50  30  40  10
DALHART TX                 89  62  83  62  94 /  20  50  30  40   5
GUYMON OK                  88  64  85  64  94 /  20  50  30  40  10
HEREFORD TX                89  62  83  63  94 /  20  50  30  40   5
LIPSCOMB TX                87  65  83  66  92 /  20  50  30  40  10
PAMPA TX                   89  65  84  65  92 /  20  50  30  40  10
SHAMROCK TX                91  66  85  67  94 /  20  50  30  40  10
WELLINGTON TX              93  68  86  68  96 /  20  50  30  40  10

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$