Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 241203 AAA
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
703 AM CDT THU APR 24 2014

.UPDATE...
WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO BELOW WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA ACROSS THE
NORTH. THEREFORE HAVE LET THE ADVISORY EXPIRE.

&&

.AVIATION...
NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH
THE DAY. AFTER A PERIOD OF LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS
EVENING...WINDS SHOULD COME AROUND TO THE SOUTH. SKIES WILL REMAIN
VFR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 330 AM CDT THU APR 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY MAKING ITS WAY SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA, WITH
GUSTY WINDS BEHIND IT. CURRENTLY HAVE THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA
UNDER A WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM. WINDS WILL SLOWLY BACK OFF AFTER
THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH LEADING TO RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR WEATHER IN OUR AREA WILL HAVE TO WAIT
TILL SATURDAY WHEN THE DRYLINE SETS UP IN THE EAST AGAIN. DECENT
INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS TO
FORM. THINK MOST STORMS WILL STAY IN OKLAHOMA, HOWEVER IF THEY DO
FORM IN OUR AREA PRIMARY HAZARD AGAIN LOOKS TO BE HAIL AND STRONG
WINDS IN PART DUE TO THE RELATIVELY HIGH LIFTED CONDENSATION LEVELS. ON
SATURDAY THE STORY FOR MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE THE HIGH WINDS AND
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES LEADING TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS, ESPECIALLY IN THE WEST. AGAIN ON SUNDAY WINDS WILL BE
HIGH ACROSS THE AREA AND ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHWEST.

WE WILL HAVE TO WAVE GOODBYE TO THE PACIFIC FRONT AS IT PASSES BY ON
ITS WAY TO A VACATION IN THE CARIBBEAN. THIS WILL CAUSE OUR WINDS TO
BE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST/NORTH THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD. RELATIVELY BENIGN WEATHER WILL STICK AROUND AFTER THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE.

MOULTON

FIRE WEATHER...
BRIEF ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD EXIST THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AROUND NOON. HOWEVER AT THIS
TIME THINK THAT RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WONT GO BELOW 20 PERCENT
UNTIL THE WINDS BEHIND THE OVERNIGHT COLD FRONT HAVE DIMINISHED TO
BELOW 20 MPH. ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS
PANHANDLE DUE TO BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
AROUND 5 TO 15 PERCENT. AGAIN ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY ACROSS THE WESTERN AND
SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND
GUSTY WINDS.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

15/19





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