Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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000
FXUS63 KABR 302035
AFDABR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
335 PM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 333 PM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER EASTERN SD
OVERNIGHT AND KEEP BREEZY SOUTH WINDS GOING. WITH THE WARM AIR ALOFT
REMAINING OVERHEAD AND THE WINDS...LOWS TONIGHT WILL REMAIN MILD.
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY/SFC TROUGH WILL MAKE ITS WAY INTO CENTRAL SD BY
12Z MONDAY...WITH BREEZY SOUTH WINDS CONTINUING OVER THE EASTERN CWA
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE FRONT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE CWA
DURING THE DAY WITH JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS. HI
RES MODELS DO SHOW JUST A FEW ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS MOVING ACROSS
THE AREA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH 18Z MONDAY. COOLER AIR FOLLOWS THIS
FRONT AND CENTRAL SD WILL SEE HIGHS SEVERAL DEGREES LOWER THAN WHAT
WAS EXPERIENCED ON SUNDAY. BY TUESDAY 850 MB TEMPS BEGIN WARMING
ONCE AGAIN WITH RETURN FLOW SETTING UP. HIGHS RANGING FROM THE MID
80S TO LOW 90S WILL ONCE AGAIN BE COMMON ACROSS THE CWA.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 333 PM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THE LONGER RANGE SOLUTIONS COMPARED TO 24
HOURS AGO. STILL EXPECTING TEMPERATURES TO BE WARMER THAN EARLY
SEPTEMBER CLIMO NORMS. FRONTAL BOUNDARY OF SIGNIFICANCE APPEARS TO
BE WORKING INTO THE CWA BY THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY BEFORE STALLING OUT
UNTIL SUNDAY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES DON`T LOOK ALL THAT GOOD.
BUT...THE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT TIMEFRAME MAINTAINS
THE BEST CHANCES FOR SEEING SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1224 PM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

EXPECT VFR ON SOUTHERLY BREEZES. THERE SHOULD BE A WIND SHIFT TO
THE NORTHWEST OCCURRING SOMETIME IN THE MORNING FOR KPIR AND KMBG.

&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TMT
LONG TERM...DORN
AVIATION...DORN



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