Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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FXUS63 KABR 151112 AAA
AFDABR

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
612 AM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 608 AM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

See below for an aviation forecast discussion for the 12Z TAFs.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday Afternoon)
Issued at 347 AM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

All of the clouds and precip from yesterday`s storm system have
pushed east, leaving clear skies across the CWA. Temps are falling
through the 30s, with some 20s across north central SD under the
ridge axis. With the weak surface ridge sliding through providing
for light winds, still could be looking at some areas of fog by
sunrise so will keep mention of this in the grids. Best chances for
fog will be over areas that received good amounts of rainfall
yesterday.

The entire short term period is looking quiet with dry conditions
and warming temperatures. By Monday and Tuesday, highs will be in
the 60s and 70s. The only concern that develops will be the elevated
fire danger as a dry air mass will be in place, along with periods
of breezy winds - although nothing overly concerning. Central South
Dakota will be the area to watch as relative humidity drops into the
teens and 20s Monday and Tuesday with a bit of a breeze. Although,
winds do not appear to be strong enough at this time to warrant
critical conditions.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Evening through Saturday)
Issued at 347 AM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

The only adjustments made away from a steady dose of Superblend (dry
and warm) was to warm temperatures a few degrees late in the week
when the most notable above climo normal warm air is forecast to
advect over the region. Models have backed off some on the
precipitation potential heading into Saturday, and so has Superblend
pops.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday Morning)
Issued at 608 AM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

The next 24 hours should bring VFR conditions once any morning
fog burns off.

&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
MN...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Dorn
SHORT TERM...TMT
LONG TERM...Dorn
AVIATION...Dorn



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