Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FXUS65 KBOU 232028
AFDBOU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
228 PM MDT THU JUL 23 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 201 PM MDT THU JUL 23 2015

MOISTURE WITH A CONVERGENCE LINE OVER THE FAR EASTERN COUNTIES
WILL CONTINUE TO SPARK THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE EVENING. STORMS
WILL MOVE EAST INTO KANSAS BUT COULD STILL PRODUCE BRIEF LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAIN. PARTY CLOUDY SKIES WILL PREVAIL OVER THE URBAN
CORRIDOR AND MOUNTAINS WITH TEMPERATURES CONTINUING TO RISE INTO
THE MID 90S FOR THE PLAINS AND 70S TO 80S FOR THE MOUNTAINS.

FOR THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MID LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES AS
SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE MOVES BACK INTO THE REGION. PW VALUES
INCREASE DURING THE DAY BRINGING IN A MID LEVEL CLOUD DECK BY THE
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL HELP TO HINDER HEATING IN THE AFTERNOON BUT
STILL EXPECT SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 90S.
CAPE IS HIGHER ALONG THE EASTERN BORDER AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
THE REGION SOUTH OF I-70. DEVELOPMENT WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY
WITH AFTERNOON STORMS FORMING OVER THESE AREAS AND PROGRESSING
EASTWARD. ATM OVER THE URBAN CORRIDOR AND NEAR WY CONTINUE TO BE
STRONGLY CAPPED THAT WILL HELP TO STAVE OFF CONVECTION IN THE
AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 201 PM MDT THU JUL 23 2015

HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALOFT WILL BE CENTERED OVER TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
WITH A RESULTANT SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER COLORADO THROUGH
THIS WEEKEND. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWING HIGHER MOISTURE
SHIFTING NORTH AGAIN FROM NORTHERN NEW MEXICO AND ARIZONA. THESE
HIGHER MOISTURE LEVELS EXPECTED SHIFT NORTH AND INCREASE OVER
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN COLORADO THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AS PW VALUES
INCREASE AGAIN AROUND AN INCH. EXPECT A BIT HIGHER COVERAGE OF
STORMS...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF CWA. OVERALL PATTERN
NOT EXPECTED TO CHANGE MUCH THROUGH MONDAY WITH VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES AND MAINLY ISOLATED LATE DAY STORMS. HIGHEST COVERAGE
APPEARS TO BE OVER SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF CWA.

THE UPPER TROF OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL PUSH INLAND EARLY
NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL INCREASE THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. AN
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OVER NORTHERN COLORADO ON TUESDAY
WITH A RETURN TO COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY LATE AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 201 PM MDT THU JUL 23 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY LATE AFTERNOON AT ALL
AIRPORTS. A MID LEVEL CLOUD DECK WILL MOVE IN BY 01Z FROM BKN
100-120. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE WITH DRAINAGE EXPECTED
BY THE EVENING BEFORE SWITCHING BACK TO THE NE BY 18Z FRIDAY.

&&

.BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BOWEN
LONG TERM...ENTREKIN
AVIATION...BOWEN



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