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000
FXUS65 KBOU 232151
AFDBOU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
251 PM MST FRI JAN 23 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 251 PM MST FRI JAN 23 2015

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE ITS WAY SOUTH ACROSS THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. INCREASED MOISTURE AND
WARM AIR ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE TROUGH WILL KEEP FLUCTUATING
CEILINGS IN PLACE INTO THE EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABLE TO
WARM FASTER OVER THE PLAINS IN THE AFTERNOON DUE TO LESS CLOUD
COVER WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. MOISTURE WILL DISSIPATE
FROM THE NORTH TO THE SOUTH OVERNIGHT CLEARING OUT SKIES AND
BRINGING TEMPERATURES DOWN TO BELOW FREEZING. RIDGING WILL BUILD
IN TOMORROW WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND HIGHS GETTING INTO THE
LOWER TO MID 50S FOR THE PLAINS AND 30S FOR THE MOUNTAINS. MID
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE STARTING SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 251 PM MST FRI JAN 23 2015

UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL BE THE DOMINANT FEATURE FOR COLORADO
WEATHER THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK. INITIALLY THE RIDGE IS OVER THE
EASTERN PACIFIC WITH COLORADO UNDER DECENT NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.
OVER THE WEEKEND THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE GREAT BASIN AND
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BEGINS TO MODERATE. BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY THE
UPPER RIDGE IS CENTERED OVER THE STATE WITH LIGHT FLOW THROUGH
MOST LEVELS. THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WILL
BE ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS THE RIDGE AXIS CROSSES OVER THE STATE.

DURING THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK THE RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN
AS AN UPPER LOW OVER NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA MOVES NORTHWARD AND
THEN CROSSES THE GREAT BASIN AND ROCKY MOUNTAINS ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. THE MOUNTAIN AREAS MAY PICK UP A LITTLE BIT OF SNOW AT
THAT TIME. TEMPERATURES OVER EASTERN COLORADO WILL ALSO COOL OFF A
LITTLE AS SOME COOLER AIR MOVES IN TO THE REGION FROM THE NORTHERN
PLAINS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY LATE AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 251 PM MST FRI JAN 23 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A BKN DECK WILL
STAY IN PLACE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON DROPPING TO 10000FT BY 20Z. AS
MOISTURE DECREASES FROM THE NORTH TO SOUTH THE CEILINGS WILL
SCATTER OUT BY LATE TONIGHT. WINDS WILL BE PREDOMINATELY OUT OF
THE NORTH WITH THE SURFACE HIGH TO THE N AND TROUGH EAST OF THE
AREA. WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHERLY BY THIS EVENING.

&&

.BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BOWEN
LONG TERM...DANKERS
AVIATION...BOWEN