Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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FXUS65 KGJT 251737

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1137 AM MDT Tue Oct 25 2016

Issued at 1130 AM MDT Tue Oct 25 2016

Updated the forecast earlier to reflect last line of showers
stretching across central CO, roughly from Eagle to Grand
Junction. Will see this line of shower move east across the
forecast area the rest of this afternoon.


.SHORT TERM...(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 408 AM MDT Tue Oct 25 2016

Showers and a few embedded rumbles of thunder continue to drift
northeast this morning with a very slow eastward shift to the line
as heights flatten across the forecast area in response to
Pacific wave moving through. Showers will be diminishing in areal
coverage by mid-morning with activity tapering off this afternoon
as drier, cooler and more stable conditions settle in behind the
exiting wave.

High pressure quickly rebounds tonight with riding becoming
parked overhead for the next few days. This will bring a quick
jump back to well above normal temperatures by Wednesday afternoon
with overnight mins actually dropping a bit in the drier air mass.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 408 AM MDT Tue Oct 25 2016

Dry and warm conditions will be in place Thursday as the ridge
rebounds back over the Intermountain West to the Canadian Rockies.
Once again the subtropical jet will usher in moisture in the
upstream portion of the ridge by Friday and an ejecting wave will
bring increasing cloudiness then scattered precipitation Friday
afternoon through Saturday. At the moment however this system does
not appear to be as organized or as moist but will still be warm
with high snow levels. The main piece of the western trough will
be forced inland by Sunday and is forecast by models to mainly
sweep across the northern states and only brush our region with
some lighter precipitation. There is a hint that beyond this the
weather pattern may become a bit more active for the mid
latitudes. Otherwise temperatures remain above seasonable


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1130 AM MDT Tue Oct 25 2016

A band of showers that stretched from Eagle to Grand Junction at
about noon will gradually move east today and provide best focus
for precipitation. KGJT, KRIL and KASE will be most affected to by
it with occasional cigs reaching ILS breakpoints and brief MVFR
conditions within better showers. most mountains will remain
obscured through about 02z when conditions should lift. overnight
there may be local fog developing along the CO river. Wed will be
much drier.




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