Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Northern Indiana

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FXUS63 KIWX 251750

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
150 PM EDT Thu May 25 2017

Issued at 131 PM EDT Thu May 25 2017

An upper low pressure system continues to pivot away from the
region allowing showers to push away during the early overnight.
Scattered showers are once again possible Friday afternoon as a
low pressure system approaches the region. Showers are still
possible during the holiday weekend, but for the most part we`ll
stay dry. Highs will stay around average for this time of year as
we reach into the 70s this holiday weekend. Lows tonight will fall
back towards 50 degrees before rebounding to near 60 degrees
Saturday and Sunday night.


.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 453 AM EDT Thu May 25 2017

The upper low was near Muncie early this morning. This system
will accelerate northeast in response to an upstream system
digging south across the western CONUS. Have replaced the flash
flood warning that included Allen Co Indiana last night with an
areal flood warning as more bands of rain travel over the areas
that received the heaviest rainfall last night. Radar returns,
surface rainfall report and mesonet observations indicated 6
inches of rain fell in portions of Van Wert County. Rainfall
should diminish rather rapidly this morning; so at this point,
have chosen not to include additional hydrological headlines. Dry
weather is expected tonight in the wake of the departing system.
Low temperatures well down into the 50s are expected tonight.


.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 453 AM EDT Thu May 25 2017

The upstream upper level trof will gradually amplify as this system
moves southeast out of Canada. In the interim, conditions will be
mild with highs in the mid 70s to around 80 this weekend.  The best
chances for rain appear to be Saturday night. Have maintained
chances for rain most periods this holiday period from Saturday
through Memorial day, although most of the time it will not be
raining. Cooler weather is ahead by the middle of next week as the
upper level trof continues to develop and moves into the forecast


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 131 PM EDT Thu May 25 2017

Upper low continues to pivot away from the area and allows a ridge
to move into the area for Friday. Precipitation is expected to
rotate around the upper low allowing for showers at FWA to
continue into the early overnight. Expecting some drying out of
the atmospheric column allowing for diurnal mix down up to 20kts
of wind gusts during the afternoon. Then, depending on how far
east the driness can move in and with winds dying down after
midnight, expecting some reduction of VIS to move into the region
overnight. Conditions generally stay in MVFR with some time in VFR
this afternoon and IFR conditions possible Friday morning.


IN...Beach Hazards Statement until 10 PM CDT this evening for INZ003.

MI...Beach Hazards Statement until 11 PM EDT this evening for MIZ077.

LM...Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for LMZ043-046.



SHORT TERM...Skipper
LONG TERM...Skipper

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