Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Northern Indiana

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FXUS63 KIWX 271912

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
312 PM EDT Thu Oct 27 2016

Issued at 1252 PM EDT Thu Oct 27 2016

Low pressure continues to lift across the eastern Great Lakes and
the associated cloud cover will remain in place throughout the
remainder of the afternoon into this evening. Lows tonight are
expected to dip down into the upper 30s. By Friday morning, cloud
cover will slowly decrease and a shift in the winds from the south
will allow for warmer temperatures that should reach into the low
to mid 60s.


.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Friday)
Issued at 301 PM EDT Thu Oct 27 2016

The cold front had pushed south to the Ohio River early this
afternoon. Trailing precipitation ended early this morning with
clearing skies ahead Friday as deep layer subsidence increases. A
quick return flow with limited cold air advection tonight will
allow temperatures to recover into the 60s over most areas Friday.


.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 301 PM EDT Thu Oct 27 2016

Overall, a very mild and generally dry period is on the horizon late
this weekend into next week. In the interim, there is a very good
chance for rain late Saturday night over northeast areas from far
southern Lower Michigan into northwest Ohio as a another front
moves southeast. Moisture will pool along and south of the front
with precipitable water values climbing to near climatological
records for this time of year of 1.4 inches.

Temperatures will remain much above normal into next week as the
upper level flow remains southwest to west.  Highs should reach from
the upper 60s into the 70s on Saturday and again on Monday through
Wednesday. Much uncertainty on chances of rain during the middle
of next week as relatively week systems move east or northeast in
strong flow aloft.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 1252 PM EDT Thu Oct 27 2016

Cloudy skies will continue throughout the remainder of the
afternoon and into this evening. MVFR ceilings are forecasted to
remain until around midnight at KFWA as surface winds diminish and
cloud cover will lift to around 10 kft after midnight. Lower
ceilings will remain in northwest Indiana due to low clouds
remaining due to a NW wind coming off of Lake Michigan. Winds will
shift to the south on Friday morning which will gradually lift the
low cloud deck for all of Northern Indiana.


LM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for LMZ043-046.



SHORT TERM...Skipper
LONG TERM...Skipper

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