Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 272354

National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
654 PM CDT Thu Oct 27 2016

Issued at 314 PM CDT THU OCT 27 2016

Large upper ridge over the Rockies will shift east tonight and
tomorrow bringing warmer temperatures into the region for the rest of
the week. Highs both Friday and Saturday will be in the upper 70s to
lower 80s, almost 20 degrees above average but a few degrees shy of
records. Increasing southerly winds will accompany this warmup and
will keep fog much less widespread tomorrow morning than it was
today. These winds could also lead to an increased potential for
wildfires on Friday although humidity values will stay high enough
to prevent any red flag conditions.

A weak moisture-starved boundary will settle into the area Saturday
night leading to a 10-12 degree drop in temperatures for Sunday
(though still above average). This lack of moisture will lead to a
dry frontal passage. Temperatures will then bounce back into the 70s
and 80s for Halloween, followed by increasing rain chances by Tuesday
and Wednesday.


.Aviation...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday Evening)
Issued at 654 PM CDT THU OCT 27 2016

Main item of concern heading into the overnight hours will be the
possibility of low stratus development as a warm front lifts north
through the area. Earlier forecasts seems a bit more concerned with
fog potential...but newly arriving model guidance suggests winds will
remain in the 6-10 kt range during the predawn hours which should
prevent widespread vsby reductions. In any event...have highlighted
potential for low stratus after the 08z time frame at all
terminals...before clearing occurs after 12/13z. After this...expect
breezy south winds through the day with gusts as high as 25 possible
during the late morning and afternoon hrs.




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