Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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878
FXUS63 KEAX 031735
AFDEAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1235 PM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.Discussion...
Issued at 409 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

Areas of fog have developed overnight generally along and
southeast of a Kirksville to St. Joseph line. A few of these
locations, especially across the extreme southeast portion of the
CWA where skies remain clear, have seen visibilities dropping below
a 1/4 mile at times. Expect fog to begin to mix out around 13Z;
however, with light winds expected for much of the day, fog may
linger a bit longer in some locations.

A trough digging towards the northern Southern Plains will bring a
few clouds to the area today, but otherwise dry weather is finally
here. Despite the trough moving through the region today, daytime
highs should still be able to climb into the upper 60s due in part
to surface ridging still in place. A weak cold front will swing
through Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, but with limited cold
air behind the front, afternoon temperatures will be able to quickly
rebound into the upper 60s and low 70s. A few showers may develop
across north-central Missouri as the front moves through, but with
main vort max east of the CWA, the bulk of any convective
development will also remain east.

Upper level trough positioned across the Northeast and another
trough inland along the California coast, will allow upper level
ridging to build over the west-central US. Even with the CWA in more
of the northwest flow pattern, temperatures will gradually warm
through the week...approaching the upper 70s and maybe low 80s by
Friday. Ridge will begin to break down Friday evening and Saturday
as western trough begins to eject into the Great Basin. This system
will be our next decent shot for rain chances Sunday into Monday.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday Afternoon)
Issued at 1235 PM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

Scattered cumulus with bases around 5-6 kft will continue to spread
over the region this afternoon, then should dissipate diurnally this
evening, leaving mainly clear skies overnight. Winds will turn a bit
to the northwest this afternoon but at speeds less than 10 kts, and
may return to the west southwest overnight. Breezier northerly winds
are expected following a weak frontal passage tomorrow morning.

&&

.EAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KS...None.
MO...None.
&&

$$

Discussion...PMM
Aviation...Laflin



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