Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 011651

National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1051 AM CST TUE DEC 1 2015

Issued at 344 AM CST TUE DEC 1 2015

The large upper low currently centered over northwest Iowa will be
slow to move east, still influencing our weather through Wednesday.
A dry slot has allowed mostly clear skies across the forecast area
this morning, and the southern two-thirds of the CWA is expected to
have sunshine for a notable amount of the daylight hours today. This
will allow temperatures to rebound into the middle 40s during the
afternoon in cloud-free regions. Across northern Missouri, an
approaching vorticity spoke associated with the upper low will skirt
the area this afternoon and evening, returning cloud cover and
perhaps enough lift/moisture for some flurries - but no measurable
snowfall is expected. The cloud cover will move south into the
remaining CWA this evening/overnight and likely persist well into
Wednesday. With the clouds and weak cold air advection, temperatures
will be a few degrees cooler Wednesday afternoon, but no
precipitation is expected.

The remaining forecast will remain relatively tranquil with
temperatures warming to above normal levels Thursday into the
weekend as broad upper ridging evolves over the Plains states - with
highs in the upper 40s to middle 50s common in the forecast area. An
upper disturbance will bring a slight chance of precipitation to the
area Sunday night into Monday, but otherwise the remainder of the
extended looks dry.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday Afternoon)
Issued at 1044 AM CST TUE DEC 1 2015

Developing cloud cover will enter the area through the afternoon,
particularly this evening, as the backside of an upper low moves
eastward. Gusty winds out of the southwest will affect the terminals
ahead of this feature, prior to dropping off around sunset. At that
time, VFR stratus will transition to MVFR as the evening progresses.
There is a chance of a few snow flurries over northern Missouri, but
with the exception of KSTJ, these should remain well north of the
terminals. Low level moisture will likely produce IFR ceilings
overnight until gradually lifting Wednesday morning. Stratus will
linger through much of Wednesday before dissipating through the late


.EAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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