Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO
FXUS63 KEAX 272313
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
513 PM CST Sat Dec 27 2014
Issued at 302 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2014
Band of snow is exiting the forecast area this afternoon while high
pressure builds in from the west. This will finally allow clouds to
scatter out from west to east this evening, though low level flow
coming off the snow pack in Nebraska and Iowa may cause clouds to
linger a bit longer over northern Missouri. Low-level ridging will
keep things dry on Sunday while temperatures stay right around average.
On Monday a stronger cold front will drop into the region with highs
only in the teens/low 20s by Tuesday and lows in the single digits
for many areas. Wind chill values will drop below zero across
northwest MO and far northeast KS Monday night and across much of the
forecast area Tuesday night. Could see a few light snow showers
accompanying the front Monday and Monday night mainly north of I-70.
Any snow that falls is unlikely to accumulate.
Still watching the potential for a strong storm system to track into
the central U.S. late in the week. As expected, still quite a bit of
spread with this one with a track that could be anywhere from the
Gulf Coast to the Central Plains. One signal that does seem fairly
consistent is that mixed precip could be an issue if the storm does
track into our forecast area. Will have a better idea how this system
will evolve by Monday or Tuesday, when the parent upper trough starts
to take shape over the Pacific Northwest.
.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday Evening)
Issued at 508 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2014
MVFR deck is finally scattering out, with KIXD and KSTJ clear. KMCI
and KMKC are still on the back edge the this deck and should be
scattering out by 01Z. High pressure then moves in and allows for
clear skies through the remainder of the period. Winds will shift
from northwesterly to southwesterly by tomorrow morning.