Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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416
FXUS63 KEAX 082059
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
259 PM CST Fri Dec 8 2017

.Discussion...
Issued at 218 PM CST FRI DEC 8 2017

The CONUS is locked in a blocking pattern with UL ridging
dominating over CA and into the Intermountain West, and troughing
over the Great Lakes and into the East Coast. This leaves the
local area caught in the middle and largely under UL NW flow. With
no decent moisture source to pull from, the area will remain dry
for at least the next several days, with only a glimmer of hope of
precipitation glancing past in the middle of next week across NE
MO. Otherwise, the forecast is primarily a temperature one as they
fluctuate under passing shortwaves traversing along the periphery
of the aforementioned overarching trough. A gradient will setup
across the forecast area tomorrow, with highs struggling to
exceed the freezing mark in NE MO and low 40s dominating to the
south and west of the KC area. We`ll see a modest warmup over the
weekend, with temps returning closer to normal for this time of
year on Tuesday.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday Afternoon)
Issued at 1127 AM CST FRI DEC 8 2017

Although VFR ceilings are currently observed at the terminals and
anticipated to prevail through the remainder of the day, low-level
stratus is slowly sinking south-southeastward. This deck is
anticipated to stay away from the area terminals today, but will
be keeping an eye on it and update if necessary. However, as a
front drops south across the region tonight through tomorrow
morning, the terminals will see the clouds thicken and lower,
along with an increase in NW winds. Have held off including MVFR
mention for this TAF issuance, but could see it included in the
next issuance if the signal persists for it to occur.


&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...lg
Aviation...lg



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