Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 210402
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1102 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017

.Discussion...
Issued at 300 PM CDT SAT MAY 20 2017

The showers and storms have finally exited the entire area. The
surface low and upper level low responsible are currently moving
north-northeast through the Plains. The cloud cover associated
with the low pressure system has been slow to move out, but it
should exit the area by this evening, leaving everyone with clear
skies. Lows tonight should dip into the 40s.

A surface high will settle into the Plains behind the surface low
tonight from the northwest. This will dry us out for the rest of the
weekend. Highs Sunday through Tuesday should be in the upper 60s and
low 70s. Monday morning, a positively tilted low pressure system
will make its way through the area from the northwest. This will
provide our next chance of showers and storms Monday and Tuesday.
There is the potential for marginally severe weather with this
system but the cold front appears weak and CAPE and shear values are
not overly impressive at this time either. The cold front and
associated low pressure will move through and exit the area Tuesday.
Cooler temperatures are expected behind the cold front Wednesday,
keeping highs only in the low to mid 60s. In addition, a surface
high and upper level ridge will move over the Central US drying
things out for the remainder of the work week. Thursday, the
surface high will slide east of the area shifting winds to the
south, allowing temperatures to rise back into the 70s.
Temperatures in the upper 70s and low 80s and potentially stormy
weather return next weekend, but there is still disagreement among
models about precipitation timing and location.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday Night)
Issued at 1101 PM CDT SAT MAY 20 2017

VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours with a slight
wind shift form the west to the northwest late Sunday.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...Grana
Aviation...Cutter


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