Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 090846

National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
346 AM CDT FRI OCT 9 2015

Issued at 346 AM CDT FRI OCT 9 2015

A cold front moved through the region overnight bringing with it
some showers and thunderstorms that eastern Kansas and Missouri had
not seen in a number of weeks. However, the rain was not that
widespread as only the southern half of the forecast area received
any rain, and not much at that with radar estimates and ground
observations only showing a few hundredths to a tenth of an inch or
so. The front will continue to settle south today allowing some
cooler temperatures to filter south, resulting in highs in the 60s
today. However, despite the time of year the cooler temperatures
wont hang around long as above normal readings will quickly return
this weekend.

Looking at the forecast more broadly, the pattern over the next week
will be rather zonal as far as our local area is concerned as the
core of the prevailing westerlies will remain to our north over the
next week. So, while an occasional frontal intrusion, like the one
expected Sunday night, will force temperatures to retreat a little,
for the most part the forecast is one of more above normal
temperatures through the middle of October.

Looking at the specifics of the coming weekend and next work week,
temperatures will climb back into the 80s Sunday as winds from the
south pick up ahead of a "cool" front expected to sweep through the
Central Plains Sunday night. Air behind the front wont be that cold
though as the westerlies remain to our north. Additionally, the
frontal passage is expected to be dry as return moisture from the
Gulf is not expected to get as far north as central Kansas or
Missouri. However, this round of above normal temperatures and no
rain will help fuel fire concerns in the coming week as the grasses
and fine fuels start to cure and begin going dormant for the season.
Current forecast for the next week keeps humidity levels and winds
speeds above critical thresholds, but folks with fire concerns will
want to pay more attention in the coming weeks.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday Night)
Issued at 1150 PM CDT THU OCT 8 2015

Cold front has pushed into eastern KS and the MO Ozarks this evening
with generally dry conditions behind it. A band of light showers over
far northern MO could briefly produce some light rain as far south as
Kansas City toward 3 or 4 AM but any impacts would be minimal with
conditions remaining VFR.


.EAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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