Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 150442

1142 PM CDT Mon Apr 14 2014

Issued at 322 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

A rather raw spring day was experienced across the area with periods
of light snow and temperatures well below seasonal normals. Light
snowfall will remain possible through the remainder of the afternoon
over the far eastern forecast area, although little/no accumulation
is expected. The back edge of an expansive area of mid-level clouds
generally stretched along Interstate 35 as of early this afternoon.
Skies are expected to clear for most locations in the next 1-2
hours. This will allow a brief opportunity for temperatures to
respond, with highs still expected to reach the lower 40s.

The cold temperatures anticipated for tonight remains the most
immediate focus. Skies will start off clear this evening and
northwesterly wind speeds will relax shortly after sunset, allowing
for strong radiational cooling to begin. However, several
operational models have been consistent in bringing in a scattered
to broken deck of clouds around 5kft between 03-12Z. In areas that
experience this cloud cover the longest, this would potentially help
mitigate the worst of the lowest temperatures overnight. That said,
most areas should still experience low temperatures between 25 to 30
degrees tonight. Areas that encounter the most cloud cover will be
in the upper range of those temperatures, and this can make a
substantial difference to the potential damage of vegetation. A
freeze warning remains in effect for much of the overnight time

A warming trend is expected Tuesday into Wednesday as the upper
pattern becomes more progressive in response to the next approaching
system. Highs on Tuesday will warm into the 50s, with 60s by
Wednesday. Models for the Thursday/Friday system have been more
consistent with regards to timing/placement and slightly warming the
vertical temperature profile, keeping most of the precipitation in
the form of rain. The highest probability of rain is currently
projected on Thursday night. The weekend will feature near normal
temperatures and the next chance of rain Saturday night into Sunday,
although considerable uncertainty remains to the precipitation


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday Night)
Issued at 1141 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

Band of clouds around 6000 feet is producing light echoes on radar
but this is not reaching the ground. These clouds will clear out over
the next few hours leaving SKC for much of the period. Winds will
gradually become westerly and then southwesterly through the day
Tuesday, and will increase from the south after dark.


KS...FREEZE WARNING until 9 AM CDT Tuesday FOR KSZ025-057-060-102>105.

MO...FREEZE WARNING until 9 AM CDT Tuesday FOR MOZ001>008-011>017-



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