Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO

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FXUS63 KLSX 310809
AFDLSX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
309 AM CDT Thu Jul 31 2014

.SHORT TERM:  (Through Tonight)
Issued at 307 AM CDT Thu Jul 31 2014

Expect highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s followed by overnight
lows in the lower 60s. Such temperatures are 3-10 degrees below
average for this time of year. Light rain is possible across the
extreme southern CWA today on the northern fringes of an area of
precipitation which is being generated by a shortwave moving from
OK into AR. Isolated to scattered precip is also possible late
this afternoon and early tonight across the northern CWA ahead of
an approaching shortwave which is diving south-southeastward from
ND/MN per 06z water vapor imagery.

Kanofsky

.LONG TERM:  (Tomorrow through Wednesday)
Issued at 307 AM CDT Thu Jul 31 2014

Diurnal instability combined with lift ahead of occasional weak
shortwaves might produce iso-sct SH/TS over the next couple of
days, especially during the afternoon hours. Slightly cooler than
average temperatures will continue until the northwest flow
pattern aloft begins to change over the weekend, eventually
becoming quasizonal. After an upper ridge de-amplifies and shifts
into the plains early next week while surface winds turn
southerly, seasonable levels of heat/humidity should return to the
region. The next opportunity for widespread rainfall appears to be
associated with a potential synoptic scale system during the
middle of next week.

Kanofsky

&&

.AVIATION:  (For the 06z TAFs through 06z Thursday Night)
Issued at 1037 PM CDT Wed Jul 30 2014

Dry and VFR conditions with light winds are expected through the
TAF period.

Specifics for KSTL: Dry and VFR conditions with light winds are
expected over the next 30 hours.

Britt

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES:
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

$$

WFO LSX





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