Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO

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FXUS63 KLSX 261203

703 AM CDT Tue May 26 2015

.SHORT TERM:  (Through Late This Afternoon)
Issued at 343 AM CDT Tue May 26 2015

MCV over west central Missouri will continue to lift northward this
morning with activity associated with it sliding north through
region. Coverage is scattered and will see precipitation taper off
from southwest to northeast today. Because of a bit more cloud cover
and precipitation, highs will only be in the upper 70s to low 80s.


.LONG TERM:  (Tonight through Monday)
Issued at 343 AM CDT Tue May 26 2015

Tonight through Thursday...

Next in series of weak upper level shortwaves to lift through region
tonight with chances of showers and thunderstorms through early
Thursday. It will not be continuous rain through this period and we
could see a bit of a break on Thursday before next more significant
system approaches for the weekend. Highs will be in the 80s for the
rest of the work week with lows in the 60s.

Friday through Monday...

Deepening upper level trof over the Rockies will begin to slide
towards region on Friday with increasing chances of showers and
thunderstorms for the weekend. Best chances will be Friday night
through Saturday. Cooler air to filter in behind this system with
highs only in the mid 60s to mid 70s by Sunday and Monday.



.AVIATION:  (For the 12z TAFs through 12z Wednesday Morning)
Issued at 701 AM CDT Tue May 26 2015

Showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected to move out of the
terminals by 14Z this morning. MVFR ceilings have recently
redeveloped across Missouri and may linger past 15Z. Expect these
ceilings to lift by late morning and expect mainly dry and VFR
conditions through the rest of the TAF period. Only exception will
be up at KUIN where that terminal will be close enough to a
frontal boundary later this evening that it may see a
thunderstorm when an upper level storm system moves over the area.
MVFR/possibly IFR conditions in moderate-heavy rain would be
possible with any thunderstorms.

Specifics for KSTL: Ceilings have varied low MVFR and VFR during
the night and they are currently around 2000 feet. Expect them to
stay MVFR through 14Z with improvements in the ceilings by late
morning. Otherwise, expect the rest of the TAF period to be mostly
dry and VFR.





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