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000
FXUS64 KAMA 222346
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
646 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF CYCLE
CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING WILL LIKELY AFFECT THE
AMARILLO TAF SITE BUT COULD ALSO AFFECT THE DALHART TAF SITE BEFORE
WEAKENING LATER THIS EVENING. WILL CARRY A VCTS AND TEMP GROUP AT THE
AMARILLO TAF SITE UNTIL AROUND 02Z WEDNESDAY OR SO. VFR CONDITIONS
EXCEPT MVFR CONDITIONS IN AND NEAR CONVECTION. SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH AND
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS DIMINISHING TO
AROUND 5 TO 10 KNOTS AFTER 02Z TO 04Z WEDNESDAY.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014/

DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING AT THIS TIME ALONG
A CORRIDOR RUNNING SOUTH SOUTHWEST TO NORTH NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES.  THIS LOCATION LIES NEAR THE
RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM MONDAY NIGHT/S THUNDERSTORMS...IN AN
AREA OF SLIGHTLY ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FLUX CONVERGENCE.
WILL CARRY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALL SECTIONS THIS EVENING...WITH
HIGHEST POPS IN AFOREMENTIONED AREA.

OTHERWISE...FORECAST REMAINS LARGELY UNCHANGED.  HOT CONDITIONS
EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK UNTIL 500 MB RIDGE RETROGRADES TO
THE WEST.  LOW THUNDERSTORM POPS RETAINED IN NORTHWEST SECTIONS
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT.  LOW POPS ON SUNDAY HAVE BEEN
SPREAD A BIT TO THE SOUTHEAST...AND SUNDAY NIGHT POPS HAVE BEEN
INCREASED IN NORTHERN SECTIONS...DUE TO ARRIVAL OF FRONTAL BOUNDARY
AND SUBSEQUENT UPSLOPE FLOW TO ITS NORTH.  SLIGHT CHANCE POPS KEPT
FOR MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY ALL SECTIONS.  03

COCKRELL

FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.  RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 20 PERCENT.
NO EXCESSIVE WINDS ARE EXPECTED.  03

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

11/08