Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KAMA 182017
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
317 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WHICH HAS PROVIDED THE WESTERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGHOUT THE DAY WILL CONTINUE TO
TRAVERSE THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. THE SHORTWAVE HAS
ALREADY TRAVELED FURTHER NORTH THAN PREVIOUS FORECAST AND THIS WILL
ALLOW THE WESTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE TO SEE SOME PRECIP THIS
EVENING. THESE SHOWERS SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET.

SUNDAY DAYTIME SHOULD REMAIN DRY BEFORE ANOTHER WEAK SHORTWAVE BRINGS
PRECIP CHANCES TO THE SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. INSTABILITY
REMAIN LIMITED AND SO SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
LOW END PRECIP CHANCES REMAIN IN THE FORECAST MONDAY AND TUESDAY
BEFORE A STRONGER TROUGH IMPACTS THE PANHANDLES AROUND THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK. INSTABILITY REMAINS ON THE LOW END SO SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO MAKE MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE TROUGH WITH THE GFS COMING CLOSER
TO THE ECMWF ON THE CUT OFF OF PRECIP CHANCES THURSDAY AFTERNOON DUE
TO A FURTHER EAST POSITIONING OF THE CLOSED LOW. EXPECT TO SEE
ADJUSTMENTS DURING THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST AS WE GO FORWARD IN
TIME. BY FRIDAY NEXT WEEK WE WILL BE LOOKING AT DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH
NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                47  72  52  76  51 /  30   5  10  10  10
BEAVER OK                  47  79  52  80  49 /  10   0  10   0   0
BOISE CITY OK              47  75  49  74  47 /  30   5  10   5   5
BORGER TX                  50  76  55  79  53 /  20   5  10   5   5
BOYS RANCH TX              46  74  51  77  50 /  20   5  10  10  10
CANYON TX                  46  72  52  76  50 /  30  10  20  20  10
CLARENDON TX               47  75  53  80  53 /  20   5  10  20  10
DALHART TX                 47  74  50  76  49 /  20   5  10  10  10
GUYMON OK                  48  77  51  78  49 /  20   0  10   0   0
HEREFORD TX                45  71  51  75  49 /  30  10  20  20  20
LIPSCOMB TX                50  76  54  80  53 /  10   0  10   0   0
PAMPA TX                   47  74  53  77  52 /  20   5  10  10  10
SHAMROCK TX                48  74  53  81  54 /  20   5  10  10  10
WELLINGTON TX              51  76  56  82  57 /  20   5  10  10  10

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

15/14





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.