Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 222046
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
330 PM CDT TUE APR 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
NO MAJOR CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE FORECAST.  STILL EXPECTING
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EAST AND CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS IN THE WEST ON WEDNESDAY.

ISOLATED NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING IN
WESTERN SECTIONS OF PANHANDLES. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN THROUGH
EASTERN NEW MEXICO HAS BEEN TAKING PLACE TODAY AND FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED AS SHORTWAVE TROF ARRIVES FROM SOUTHWEST.

DRYLINE SETS UP ON WEDNESDAY.  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS LOOK TO BE A GOOD BET FOR EASTERN SECTIONS OF
THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  COLD FRONT
ARRIVES BY THURSDAY MORNING...WITH DRIER AND MORE STABLE CONDITIONS
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

SOME SIGNS THAT DRYLINE COULD SET UP AGAIN SATURDAY.  HAVE RETAINED
LOW POPS IN EASTERN HALF SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.  BIGGER STORY
MAY BE WINDS WEST OF DRYLINE.  DYNAMIC SYSTEM EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
WINDY CONDITIONS SUNDAY AS WELL.

COLD FRONT SUNDAY NIGHT LEADS TO COOLER CONDTIONS ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY.  03

COCKRELL

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY ACROSS
WESTERN PARTS OF THE PANHANDLES. A RED FLAG WARNING FOR STRONG WINDS
AND LOW HUMIDITY WILL BE IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
FOR LOCATIONS WEST OF LINE FROM GUYMON TO AMARILLO. ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY ACROSS MAINLY WESTERN AND
SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE COMBINED PANHANDLES. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AREA WIDE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.  03

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                57  87  45  75  48 /   5  30   0   0   0
BEAVER OK                  58  83  44  76  47 /   5  50  30   0   0
BOISE CITY OK              55  83  42  73  40 /  20   5  10   0   0
BORGER TX                  59  86  48  77  52 /   5  30  10   0   0
BOYS RANCH TX              61  88  45  77  49 /  10  10   0   0   0
CANYON TX                  59  88  45  76  50 /   5  20   0   0   0
CLARENDON TX               54  85  52  77  51 /   0  40  20   0   0
DALHART TX                 55  85  40  74  41 /  20   5   5   0   0
GUYMON OK                  58  88  45  78  43 /   5  30  20   0   0
HEREFORD TX                58  87  44  74  47 /  10  10   0   0   0
LIPSCOMB TX                58  82  49  76  48 /   0  50  30   0   0
PAMPA TX                   58  84  47  74  53 /   0  40  10   0   0
SHAMROCK TX                56  85  53  76  51 /   0  50  30   0   0
WELLINGTON TX              55  89  56  77  52 /   0  40  30   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TO 10 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: DALLAM...DEAF SMITH...HARTLEY...MOORE...
     OLDHAM...POTTER...RANDALL...SHERMAN.

OK...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TO 10 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: CIMARRON...TEXAS.


&&

$$

05/03



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