Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 191107
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
607 AM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF CYCLE
MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS AT THE AMARILLO AND DALHART TAF SITES WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY AS THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE ODILE LIFT
NORTH AND EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. RAIN
SHOWERS WILL ALSO SPREAD NORTH ACROSS THE AMARILLO AND DALHART TAF
SITES AFTER 17Z TO 20Z TODAY WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 12Z
SATURDAY. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE GUYMON TAF SITE UNTIL
AFTER 05Z TO 07Z SATURDAY WHEN MVFR CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP. SOUTH AND
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 10 TO 20 KNOTS
AFTER 16Z TODAY...AND THEN DIMINISH AGAIN AFTER 02Z TO 08Z SATURDAY
TO AROUND 5 TO 15 KNOTS.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 400 AM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK WITH ONLY MINOR CHANGES MADE.  SOUTHERN
AND SOUTHWESTERN PARTS OF FORECAST AREA EXPECTED TO REAP THE BENEFITS
OF OLD TROPICAL CYCLONE ODILE THIS MORNING...WITH RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS IMPACTING NORTHEAST AND NORTHERN SECTIONS AS WELL
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.  FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS AS EARLIER
CONFIGURED...ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE...FOR
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

REMNANTS OF MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE SATURDAY
NIGHT...BUT ATMOSPHERE EXPECTED TO REMAIN MOIST AND UNSTABLE...DUE
PARTLY TO EXPECTED ARRIVAL OF MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH NEXT PACIFIC
TROPICAL STORM POLO.  THUS...CLOUDY AND COOLER WEATHER EXPECTED WITH
CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING THROUGH FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
03

COCKRELL

FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES REMAIN WELL ABOVE NECESSARY
THRESHOLDS AND FUELS ARE MOISTENED BY WETTING RAINS.  03

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: ARMSTRONG...CARSON...
     COLLINGSWORTH...DEAF SMITH...DONLEY...GRAY...OLDHAM...
     POTTER...RANDALL...WHEELER.

OK...NONE.

&&

$$

11/03





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