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000
FXUS64 KAMA 202235
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
535 PM CDT Wed Sep 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Generally benign weather will continue across the Oklahoma and
Texas Panhandles through Thursday night. Warmer temperatures are
also anticipated on Thursday compared to today`s values.

A large upper level trof of low pressure is progged by all models
to establish itself over the western United States the remainder
of this week and weekend, then track across the plains states
early next week. This particular upper level trof will likely
transport deep moisture north and northeast into the area as it
slowly moves towards the plains states with heavy rain potential
likely, possibly leading to flooding or flash flooding at times
across parts of the forecast area. This threat will begin late
Friday afternoon and continue into Monday, diminishing Tuesday.
Pops begin in the western zones Friday afternoon, then spread
eastward to encompass all zones by Saturday evening and continue
through Tuesday, with highest values Saturday through Monday
night. The upper level trof is forecast to translate across the
plains states next Tuesday, with precipitation ending from north
to south later Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday. In addition,
another cold front will move across the region late Sunday night
and Monday if medium range models verify.

Andrade

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                58  92  64  87  63 /   0   5   5  10  20
Beaver OK                  56  96  67  91  66 /   0   5   5  10  20
Boise City OK              51  90  61  85  60 /   0   5   5  30  50
Borger TX                  61  94  68  89  66 /   0   5   5  10  20
Boys Ranch TX              56  94  63  88  61 /   0   5   5  20  40
Canyon TX                  58  92  64  87  63 /   0   5   5  10  30
Clarendon TX               62  93  67  89  65 /   0  10   5  10  10
Dalhart TX                 51  92  61  86  61 /   0   5   5  30  50
Guymon OK                  53  95  65  89  64 /   0   5   5  20  40
Hereford TX                57  92  63  87  62 /   0   5   5  20  30
Lipscomb TX                60  95  69  91  67 /   0   5   5   5  10
Pampa TX                   60  93  66  88  65 /   0   5   5  10  10
Shamrock TX                64  93  69  90  67 /   0  10   5   5   5
Wellington TX              66  94  69  91  67 /   0  10   5   5   5

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$