Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 261738

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1238 PM CDT Fri May 26 2017

VFR conditions are expected throughout the 18Z TAF period. Winds
will start northerly and then eventually shift to southwesterly
after 00Z and then westerly by the end of the TAF period. Winds
will be sustained between 10-15 kts.



PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 429 AM CDT Fri May 26 2017/

A cold front, located across the northern portions of the Texas
Panhandle, will move across the remainder of the forecast area
this morning before becoming stationary. The frontal boundary will
then lift back to the north and east this afternoon and tonight.
The frontal boundary will then resume a southward movement again
Saturday across the Panhandles. A dry line will set up off the
caprock across the far eastern Panhandles later today and this
evening. An upper trough, moving across the Intermountain Region
and the central Rockies later today through Saturday, will
approach the Panhandles by Saturday night. Convection will develop
this afternoon/later today and this evening across the Oklahoma
and the northeast/eastern Texas Panhandles. Additional convection
should develop Saturday afternoon and evening across the Oklahoma
and northern Texas Panhandles. Drier and cooler conditions Sunday
behind the cold front and the upper trough as it tracks east
across the forecast area.

Northwesterly flow aloft and shortwave trough approaching from the
southern Rockies early next week should allow for convection off
the higher terrain and mountains of southern Colorado and northern
New Mexico to spread east and southeast across the Panhandles by
Monday afternoon through Tuesday night. Southern stream becomes
active by the middle of next week as another cold front moves
through the forecast area late Tuesday/early Wednesday and upper
trough remains across the southern Rockies Tuesday through
Wednesday and then tracks into the Panhandles by Thursday.
Convection chances increase next Tuesday through Thursday with the
more active southern stream.



.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...



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