Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 311724 AAB
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1224 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 18Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BEFORE THEY DECREASE
THIS EVENING. COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA CAUSING WINDS TO
SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTH AT KDHT/KGUY OVERNIGHT.

MOULTON

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 546 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014/

AVIATION...
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING INTO THE 20 TO 25
KNOT RANGE WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS WILL DECREASE SOME THIS EVENING.
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE DHT AND GUY TAF SITES LATE IN THIS
FORECAST...SO HAVE TURNED THE WINDS AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST AT THESE
SITES AFTER 09Z. SKIES WILL REMAIN VFR.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 357 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A SURFACE LOW OVER EASTERN COLORADO AND SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING
SOUTH ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO WILL MOVE SOUTH AND EAST INTO
SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO AND THE WESTERN PANHANDLES BY THIS AFTERNOON.
THE SURFACE TROUGH MAY SHARPEN UP INTO A DRYLINE BY THIS EVENING AND
MIX EAST TO THE CAPROCK BY 00Z TO 03Z MONDAY. ISOLATED CONVECTION MAY
DEVELOP AFTER 21Z TODAY ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRACKS EAST ACROSS THE PANHANDLES AND THE
CENTRAL PLAINS STATES. THE CONVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE INTO THE
EVENING AND MAY LINGER THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT OURS TONIGHT AS A COLD
FRONT PUSH SOUTH AND EAST INTO THE OKLAHOMA AND EXTREME NORTHERN
TEXAS PANHANDLES OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. THE COLD FRONT WILL THEN BECOME
STATIONARY ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE...NEAR THE
CANADIAN RIVER VALLEY OR SO...BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON LABOR DAY.
ADDITIONAL CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP MAINLY ACROSS THE
EASTERN HALF OR SO OF THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
OVERNIGHT HOURS LABOR DAY DUE TO THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXPECTED TO TRACK EAST AND SOUTHEAST ACROSS
THE PANHANDLES. DESPITE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN THE VICINITY...ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPS STILL EXPECTED EARLY THIS WEEK.

AN UPPER HIGH WILL BUILD IN OVER WEST TEXAS AND THE PANHANDLES BY MID
WEEK BRINGING DRIER AND CONTINUED ABOVE NORMAL CONDITIONS TO THE
FORECAST AREA FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THIS WEEK. ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE
PANHANDLES SHOULD REMAIN DRY FOR WEDNESDAY INTO NEXT
WEEKEND...MONSOONAL MOISTURE SHOULD SPREAD EAST INTO PORTIONS OF THE
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLES BY LATE FRIDAY INTO NEXT
WEEKEND. CONVECTION COULD PROPAGATE NORTH AND EAST ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST QUARTER OR THIRD OF THE PANHANDLES BY FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
LATE NEXT WEEKEND. WILL INTRODUCE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

SCHNEIDER

FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY
THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

19/09





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