Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 232346
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
546 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. THERE IS SOME CONCERN
FOR PATCHY FOG/MIFG AT OR NEAR THE AMARILLO AIRPORT SIMILAR TO LAST
NIGHT. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FROM EVAPORATION OF REMAINING SNOW COVER
AND FALLING TEMPERATURES AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING COULD BE ENOUGH
FOR PATCHY GROUND FOG DEVELOPMENT. STRONGER NORTHWESTERLY WINDS
COMPARED TO LAST NIGHT MAY HELP TO MIX FOG OUT TO WHERE THE
MAGNITUDE/COVERAGE WOULD BE LESS SIGNIFICANT IF DEVELOPMENT OCCURS
AT ALL. WILL MONITOR TRENDS AND UPDATE IF NECESSARY. OTHERWISE NO
CONCERNS FOR WEATHER IMPACTS TO AVIATION. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS SHOULD
BACK SLIGHTLY TO WESTERLY TOMORROW.

BRB

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SUNNY SKIES ARE MAKING THINGS QUITE BRIGHT OUT THERE THIS AFTERNOON
WITH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM BELOW FREEZING AT LOCATIONS THAT
RECEIVED THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL YESTERDAY TO THE BALMY MID 40S ACROSS
THE SNOW-LESS GROUND IN BEAVER COUNTY OKLAHOMA. THIS TEMPERATURE
STRUCTURE WILL HOLD TRUE OVERNIGHT WITH COLDER TEMPERATURES
OCCURRING OVER THE SNOW PACK IN THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS
PANHANDLE.

FOR THE WEEKEND...SUNNY SKIES AND A WARMING TREND WILL BE THE MAIN
WEATHER STORY. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S IN THE
SOUTHWEST TO UPPER 50S IN THE NORTHEAST. BY SUNDAY...WITH MUCH OF THE
SNOW MELTED...HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S CAN BE EXPECTED AREA
WIDE. SO BE SURE TO GET OUT AND ENJOY THE UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER
FOR THE LAST WEEKEND IN JANUARY.

THE START OF THE WORK WILL CONTINUE THE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURE
TREND AS A LARGE UPPER RIDGE SETTLES OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. HIGHS ON
MONDAY WILL BE A GOOD 10 TO 15+ DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL! TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY LOOK JUST AS WARM IF NOT WARMER WITH SUNNY SKIES AND DRY
CONDITIONS CONTINUING.

MODEL DIFFERENCES ENTER THE PICTURE BY THURSDAY WITH THE ONCE
PROMISING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOOKING LIKE IT WILL GET PHASED INTO AN
UPPER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S. UNFORTUNATELY...LOOKS
LIKE THE MOISTURE WILL NOT QUITE MAKE IT TO THE AREA IN TIME BEFORE A
SHOT OF COLD AND DRY AIR MAKES ITS WAY ACROSS THE REGION. NOT CONFIDENT
ENOUGH TO ADVERTISE PRECIPITATION AT THIS TIME AS THE OVERALL UPPER
PATTERN IS MORE FAVORABLE FOR THE AREA TO MISS OUT ON THE
PRECIPITATION THIS ROUND.

KH

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

11/17




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