Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 310857
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
357 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A SURFACE LOW OVER EASTERN COLORADO AND SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING
SOUTH ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO WILL MOVE SOUTH AND EAST INTO
SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO AND THE WESTERN PANHANDLES BY THIS AFTERNOON.
THE SURFACE TROUGH MAY SHARPEN UP INTO A DRYLINE BY THIS EVENING AND
MIX EAST TO THE CAPROCK BY 00Z TO 03Z MONDAY. ISOLATED CONVECTION MAY
DEVELOP AFTER 21Z TODAY ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRACKS EAST ACROSS THE PANHANDLES AND THE
CENTRAL PLAINS STATES. THE CONVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE INTO THE
EVENING AND MAY LINGER THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT OURS TONIGHT AS A COLD
FRONT PUSH SOUTH AND EAST INTO THE OKLAHOMA AND EXTREME NORTHERN
TEXAS PANHANDLES OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. THE COLD FRONT WILL THEN BECOME
STATIONARY ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE...NEAR THE
CANADIAN RIVER VALLEY OR SO...BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON LABOR DAY.
ADDITIONAL CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP MAINLY ACROSS THE
EASTERN HALF OR SO OF THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
OVERNIGHT HOURS LABOR DAY DUE TO THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXPECTED TO TRACK EAST AND SOUTHEAST ACROSS
THE PANHANDLES. DESPITE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN THE VICINITY...ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPS STILL EXPECTED EARLY THIS WEEK.

AN UPPER HIGH WILL BUILD IN OVER WEST TEXAS AND THE PANHANDLES BY MID
WEEK BRINGING DRIER AND CONTINUED ABOVE NORMAL CONDITIONS TO THE
FORECAST AREA FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THIS WEEK. ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE
PANHANDLES SHOULD REMAIN DRY FOR WENDESDAY INTO NEXT
WEEKEND...MONSOONAL MOISTURE SHOULD SPREAD EAST INTO PORTIONS OF THE
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLES BY LATE FRIDAY INTO NEXT
WEEKEND. CONVECTION COULD PROPAGATE NORTH AND EAST ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST QUARTER OR THIRD OF THE PANHANDLES BY FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
LATE NEXT WEEKEND. WILL INTRODUCE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY
THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                97  65  95  63  91 /  10  10  10  10  10
BEAVER OK                 101  66  92  67  91 /  20  20  10  20  10
BOISE CITY OK              98  62  90  60  88 /   5   5   5  10   5
BORGER TX                 100  69  97  68  93 /  10  10  10  10  10
BOYS RANCH TX             100  64  96  62  91 /   5   5   5  10  10
CANYON TX                  97  65  95  64  91 /   5   5  10  10  10
CLARENDON TX               98  69  96  69  93 /  20  20  20  20  10
DALHART TX                100  60  94  61  90 /   5   5   5  10   5
GUYMON OK                 101  63  92  63  92 /  10  10   5  20  10
HEREFORD TX                97  65  96  63  92 /   5   5   5  10  10
LIPSCOMB TX                97  70  93  67  91 /  20  20  20  20  10
PAMPA TX                   96  69  94  65  91 /  20  20  10  20  10
SHAMROCK TX                98  71  96  68  94 /  20  20  20  20  10
WELLINGTON TX              99  72  97  71  97 /  20  20  20  20  10

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

15/11





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