Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 060931
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
331 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

.DISCUSSION...
AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN STATES
THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY...A DRY NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW WILL PREVAIL
ACROSS THE PANHANDLES. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL SHIFT EASTWARD ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND ROCKIES BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK. DRY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK. A COLD
FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY AND COOL SURFACE
RIDGE BUILDS SOUTHEAST INTO THE PANHANDLES MONDAY...ANOTHER COLD
FRONT IS FORECAST TO DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA BY LATE
WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND ANOTHER COLD FRONT NEXT FRIDAY.
SEASONABLE OR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE
EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A SURFACE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP TODAY ALONG THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES WEST
OF THE FORECAST AREA. DESPITE THE WARMER DOWNSLOPING WEST AND
SOUTHWEST 20 FOOT WINDS EXPECTED TODAY...SPEEDS ARE FORECAST TO
REMAIN BELOW 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL FALL TO BETWEEN 15 AND 20 PERCENT. ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE DUE TO THE LIGHTER EXPECTED 20 FOOT
WIND SPEEDS. IF SPEEDS INCREASE TO 15 MPH OR GREATER TODAY...ELEVATED
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP AND A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
WOULD BE NEEDED BY THE FOLLOWING SHIFT. DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK AND INTO NEXT SATURDAY. IF MINIMUM
AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES SHOULD FALL TO 20 PERCENT OR LESS AND IF 20 FOOT
WIND SPEEDS INCREASE TO 15 MPH OR HIGHER...ELEVATED OR EVEN CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                56  28  52  25  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
BEAVER OK                  54  28  48  25  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
BOISE CITY OK              54  28  48  21  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
BORGER TX                  57  30  51  29  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
BOYS RANCH TX              55  27  49  23  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
CANYON TX                  57  28  52  24  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLARENDON TX               56  30  53  29  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALHART TX                 54  26  47  21  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
GUYMON OK                  56  27  46  24  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
HEREFORD TX                56  28  52  23  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
LIPSCOMB TX                55  29  50  28  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
PAMPA TX                   54  29  50  26  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
SHAMROCK TX                55  28  54  31  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
WELLINGTON TX              56  29  57  30  54 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

15/11


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