Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 280533
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1233 AM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017

.AVIATION...06Z TAFS...
VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours. Winds will
generally be out of the south to southwest 10-20kts. Sky coverage
will begin to improve at KDHT and KGUY as residual showers exit
the Panhandles. Overall expect mostly clear skies for the
remainder of the TAF period. Kept wind shear in the TAFS through
about 13z as a 50kt low level jet remains in place.

Weber

&&


PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 235 PM CDT Tue Jun 27 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms are expected to move to the east and
southeast late this afternoon and tonight from southeast Colorado
and northeast New Mexico. Will go ahead and increase the coverage of
expected activity in our area a little to the east and south. Would
not be surprised to see the showers and thunderstorms linger,
especially in the northeast after midnight in association with a
short wave trough passing near this area. Also, the low level jet
should also add to the shear.

Wednesday looks like a dry day for the panhandles as the low levels
dry some behind a surface trough.

On Thursday, a cold front will move into the Oklahoma Panhandle by
early evening and this combined with increasing shear aloft may help
to fire some showers and thunderstorms in the northeast CWA where
the better low level moisture will be located.

Better shower and thunderstorm activity should be found across the
eastern panhandles Friday and Friday night as this area will be
closer to the better low level moisture.

Shower and thunderstorm chances will return to much of the
panhandles this weekend into early next week as the flow aloft
becomes northwest again and mountain convection is allowed to drift
this way.

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                70 101  64  87  63 /   5   5   0   5  20
Beaver OK                  71 100  63  87  63 /  10   5  30   5  20
Boise City OK              62  95  59  84  59 /   5   5  20   5  20
Borger TX                  73 104  67  88  65 /   5   5   5   5  20
Boys Ranch TX              69 103  65  88  63 /   5   0   0   5  20
Canyon TX                  67 101  62  87  62 /   5   5   0  10  20
Clarendon TX               70 101  67  89  65 /   5   5   0  10  20
Dalhart TX                 62  99  62  86  61 /   5   5   0   5  20
Guymon OK                  68  99  63  86  62 /   5   5  20   5  20
Hereford TX                67 101  62  88  63 /   5   0   0   5  20
Lipscomb TX                72 102  66  88  63 /   5   5  20  10  20
Pampa TX                   71 101  65  87  64 /   5   5   5  10  20
Shamrock TX                71 101  69  90  65 /   5   5   0  10  20
Wellington TX              72 102  70  92  66 /   5   5   0  10  20

&&

$$

89/15



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