Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 251732 AAA

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1232 PM CDT Tue Oct 25 2016

Still appears the notable s/wv approaching from the west (and
currently over cen NM) will be too starved for moisture below h7 to
provide much precip chcs except possibly the far NE. We are seeing
quite a bit of high clouds with some bands of cloud enhancement and
weak radar returns. These weak returns in the north and just south
of AMA are either just mid-level cloud decks or possibly virga. The
system will pass through the region pulling a weak front into the
area overnight. Current forecast appears on track and no significant
updates are planned.


Will see some moderate gusty SSW winds today and a wind shift with a
fropa overnight. Lack of low level moisture will preclude rain
chances and lower cigs/vsbys through the period with VFR conditions


.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 630 AM CDT Tue Oct 25 2016/

For the 12z TAFs...Mid- and high-level clouds will thin out this
afternoon and evening, followed by a clear sky by sunrise Wednesday.
South and southwest surface winds today will gust into the 20 to 25
kt range beginning late this morning.  Mid-level shortwave trof
passes this evening, driving surface trof/dryline feature to move
through eastern parts of forecast area.  Weak cold front then moves
into northwest parts of the area late tonight.  The passage of these
boundaries will produce surface wind shifts but no significant clouds
or weather.  VFR forecast continues next 24 hours.


PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 400 AM CDT Tue Oct 25 2016/

An upper level shortwave will arrive today and bring clouds and a
very slight chance for storms for the extreme eastern Oklahoma
Panhandle tonight. With very little in the way of thermodynamics,
anything that can actually form with so little moisture would be hard
pressed to become severe. The associated surface trough will bring
northerly winds for Wednesday but not much in the way of relief from
the above normal temps. Ridging quickly builds in and keeps temps in
the 80s until the next shortwave arrives on Saturday. An associated
cold front looks to stall out in the area so only northern parts of
the area will see a dip back into the 70s. Mid-level heights rise on
Sunday and surface temps respond accordingly. The upper level
longwave pattern looks to be changing though for next week and
chances for precip could return.



.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...



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