Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 252058
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
258 PM CST Sat Feb 25 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Most of the discussion will be in the Fire Weather section, since
that seems to be the theme of the forecast. West to southwest
flow aloft will continue for the next 48 to 72 hours. Winds aloft
will be moderate to strong at times, and this will allow for
decent mixing to the surface to allow for breezy to windy
conditions. Right now tomorrow and Thursday might be the only days
that we don`t have winds at least 15 mph in company with low
humidities to create elevated conditions.

Temperatures will continue to rebound through Tuesday as the flow
shifts more southwesterly. But Tuesday evening a cold front will
work it`s way into the Panhandles and the winds will shift out of
the north. There is a slight chance for rain/snow showers along
the OK Panhandle. These winds will continue overnight and
strengthen across the eastern Panhandles on Wednesday afternoon.
Temperatures will fall back into the 50s on Wednesday. Conditions
will begin to improve as we head into the weekend as high pressure
attempts to rebuild over the southern plains. Highs on Saturday
are expected to return to the lower 70s. Other than Tuesday
evening into Wednesday the forecast will remain pretty dry.

Weber

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Southwest 20 foot winds this afternoon and evening of about 15 to 20
mph will continue across the western portion of the Panhandles.
Minimum humidities will accompany in the 15 to 20 percent range,
keeping elevated Fire Weather conditions.

We will have a break Sunday but as a low deepens on the lee side
of the Rockies Monday and Tuesday could be elevated to critical
fire weather days. With the warmest air in play on Tuesday prior
to a cold front Tuesday evening, that day could be the highest
threat for Fire Weather.

Wednesday the winds will be out of the north on the backside of
the cold front. But the air will still be dry enough that some of
the eastern Panhandles might see elevated conditions, where the
strongest winds are expected. Winds should die down on Thursday,
but Friday could once again be breezy with elevated conditions, as
southwest flow returns in the wake of warmer temperatures.

Weber

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                30  57  32  67  40 /   0   0   5   0   0
Beaver OK                  27  53  28  67  38 /   0   0  10   0   0
Boise City OK              24  50  25  63  34 /   0   0   5   0   0
Borger TX                  33  57  34  69  42 /   0   0  10   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              29  58  30  68  39 /   0   0   5   0   0
Canyon TX                  30  59  32  67  39 /   0   0   5   0   0
Clarendon TX               30  60  34  69  41 /   0   0  10   0   0
Dalhart TX                 26  54  26  66  35 /   0   0   5   0   0
Guymon OK                  27  53  28  66  37 /   0   0   5   0   0
Hereford TX                29  59  31  67  39 /   0   0   5   0   0
Lipscomb TX                31  55  32  68  41 /   0   0  10   0   0
Pampa TX                   31  55  33  67  41 /   0   0   5   0   0
Shamrock TX                31  60  35  69  42 /   0   0   5   0   0
Wellington TX              32  62  36  70  42 /   0   0  10   0   0

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

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