Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 261622 AAB
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1122 AM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017

.AVIATION...
Thunderstorms should develop off of the mountains again today. The
flow aloft is weaker today, so it is unclear if they will affect
the TAF sites. For now have continued with the PROB 30 group at
DHT for the possibility. Otherwise, will keep the TAF`s VFR. Winds
will generally remain southerly and will get gusty by late Tuesday
morning.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 630 AM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017/

AVIATION...
For 12z TAFs...
Other than some potential for a brief period of MVFR/IFR cigs this
morning mainly at KGUY and KDHT, VFR conditions will prevail. IFR
and even LIFR Cigs are noted in portions of southwest KS and
northeast NM, but the left over mid/high clouds and light
westerly winds in the Panhandles seem to be keeping the low clouds
at bay. Winds should become south to southwesterly at 10-15 knots
later this morning for most of the Panhandles. Kept pop30 for
KAMA and KDHT this evening. Confidence not high enough to include
tempo groups at this time as storm coverage should be isolated to
scattered at best.

Ward

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 510 AM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017/

DISCUSSION...
The latest crop of showers and tstms has moved well south of the
fcst area. Expect a lull in the precipitation this morning.
However, another round of showers and tstms is fcst to develop
over the higher terrain of sern CO and ern NM this afternoon,
then spread southeast into the OK and TX Panhandles late this
afternoon and evening before diminishing late tonight. Storm
coverage may end up less late this afternoon and evening compared
to Sunday. A few storms will have the potential to become strong
to severe late this afternoon and evening, primarily across
western sections of the area, with large hail and damaging winds
the main hazards.

The northwest flow aloft pattern our fcst area has been in the
past several days will begin to transition to a semi-zonal flow or
weak WNW flow pattern late Tuesday through the end of the week.
This will result in drier conditions and warmer temperatures for
Wednesday and Thursday. The threat for showers and tstms may
return to at least parts of the fcst area Friday night through
Sunday. Have incorporated 20 to 30 pops during this time period.

Andrade

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

15/16


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