Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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357
FXUS64 KAMA 141125
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
525 AM CST SUN FEB 14 2016

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF CYCLE

A COOL SURFACE RIDGE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND A COLD FRONT TODAY. NORTH
WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL DIMINISH AND VEER AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST
AND SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON 5 TO 15 KNOTS...AND THEN SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST
5 TO 10 KNOTS AFTER 00Z MONDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE THREE TAF SITES AFTER 08Z MONDAY WITH WINDS BECOMING NORTH BUT
STILL ONLY 5 TO 10 KNOTS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH 12Z
MONDAY WITH MAINLY BROKEN TO SCATTERED HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS EXPECTED.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 357 AM CST SUN FEB 14 2016/

DISCUSSION...
DRY FORECAST CONTINUES WITH NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.  DAY OF INTEREST CONTINUES TO BE THURSDAY WHEN CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR.

COLD FRONT CURRENTLY THROUGH NORTHWEST THREE FOURTHS OF FORECAST
AREA...WITH ALL SECTIONS LIKELY TO HAVE NORTH WINDS BY DAYBREAK.
STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED THIS MORNING...WITH STEADY DECREASE IN
SPEEDS DURING THE AFTERNOON.  ANOTHER WEAKER COLD FRONT ARRIVES
TONIGHT...WITH YET ANOTHER PASSING MONDAY NIGHT.  HIGH TEMPERATURES
GENERALLY IN THE LOWER-60S TODAY...AND IN THE MID- TO UPPER-60S
MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

RISING MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS AND FULL DAY OF SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL WINDS ON
WEDNESDAY ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH THE LOWER- TO MID-70S.  DEEP
SOUTHWEST FLOW ON THURSDAY EXPECTED TO RESULT IN MAXIMA MAINLY IN THE
LOWER- TO MID-80S.  COLD FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT EXPECTED TO BRING
HIGHS ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY DOWN ONLY INTO THE UPPER-60S TO MID-70S.
03

COCKRELL

FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.  NORTHEAST WINDS THIS MORNING WILL TREND TO EAST
AND SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.  NORTHWEST WINDS
MONDAY MORNING WILL BECOME MORE WESTERLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  NORTH
WINDS TUESDAY MORNING WILL TREND TO NORTHEAST AND EAST IN THE
AFTERNOON.  SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON
WEDNESDAY...WITH ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN THE
SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE.

STRONG DRY SOUTHWEST WINDS ON THURSDAY WILL LIKELY CREATE CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS ALL OF THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND ALL
BUT THE FAR SOUTHEAST PART OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE.

NORTHEAST WINDS ON FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE BRIEFLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE COMBINED PANHANDLES. NO
ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON
SATURDAY.  03

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

11/3



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