Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 310817
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
317 AM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.Discussion...
Plenty of low level moisture combined with several boundaries,
including a cold front, instability and turning of winds with height
will set the stage for more shower and thunderstorm development
today and tonight.

An elongated, positively tilted, upper level trough from
northwestern Mexico into southern Colorado will continue to affect
our area through Thursday as it slowly drifts across our area.
Several upper level short wave troughs will move through the parent
trough over our area. The best chances of widespread rain will be
across the panhandles through tonight. Then the better chances will
slowly shift southward into the southern Texas Panhandle by Wednesday
into Thursday.

A few thunderstorms may become severe through Thursday, but an
organized severe weather outbreak does not look too likely at this
point.

An upper level ridge will build across the southwest U.S. Friday
through the end of this forecast. This will put the panhandles in a
north to northwest flow aloft. This flow may allow mountain
convection to head this way. For now have kept the forecast dry, as
the flow aloft looks weak and there is some question on whether the
convection can make it into our area before the loss of daytime
heating.

Temperatures will be below normal with all of the rain and cloud
cover the next few days. Temperatures will then warm up to near
normal by early next week.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/Pops...
Amarillo TX                77  56  71  54  75 /  60  70  50  50  20
Beaver OK                  77  57  76  54  79 /  60  60  20  10   5
Boise City OK              70  52  69  52  76 /  60  50  20  10   5
Borger TX                  80  58  74  56  78 /  70  60  40  40  10
Boys Ranch TX              80  56  73  54  78 /  60  60  50  50  10
Canyon TX                  80  56  72  55  76 /  60  70  50  50  20
Clarendon TX               78  59  73  57  75 /  70  70  50  50  40
Dalhart TX                 76  54  71  52  77 /  60  60  40  20  10
Guymon OK                  75  56  74  54  77 /  60  50  20  10   5
Hereford TX                81  56  73  53  77 /  50  60  50  50  20
Lipscomb TX                78  58  74  56  77 /  70  70  30  20  10
Pampa TX                   79  57  73  55  76 /  70  70  40  50  20
Shamrock TX                80  60  75  58  77 /  80  70  50  50  30
Wellington TX              81  61  76  60  79 /  70  70  50  50  40

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

14/15



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