Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 280554

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1254 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2016

A broken line of TSRA is moving over KDHT now and will soon be
impacting KGUY. Expect local MVFR/IFR with this activity along
with wind gusts over 40mph possible. This line is weaker further
south but still expect showers in the KAMA vicinity within the
next couple hours. This line will be moving slowly east through
the early morning hours and should be east of all TAF sites by 10z
resulting in VFR cigs/vsbys. Another round of scattered storms is
possible across the area later this afternoon and over night.



.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 229 PM CDT SAT AUG 27 2016/

An upper level high will be found to our east and an upper level
trough will be found to our west through this forecast. This will
put the panhandles under a south or southwest flow aloft which will
continue to pump subtropical moisture over our area. This
subtropical moisture will combine with a typically unstable late
August atmosphere to bring a daily chance of showers and
thunderstorms. An occasional upper level short wave will help focus
more organized convection at times. Otherwise, the convection will
likely begin on preexisting boundaries and the mountains.

Even more moisture is expected to be brought northward across the
panhandles on Monday into the middle of next week from the remnants
of the upper level low that is over the Gulf Coast of Texas now.
This added moisture will likely only increase the shower and
thunderstorm coverage across our area.

Thunderstorms will drop heavy amounts of rain in localized areas, so
flooding will be possible during this next week. An occasional gust
to over 60 miles an hour or a hailstone larger than a quarter may be
possible as well, but no widespread severe weather outbreak is



.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...



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