000
FXUS64 KAMA 121103
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
503 AM CST THU DEC 12 2013

.AVIATION...
SURFACE WINDS AT THE TERMINALS THIS MORNING ARE LIGHT AND OUT OF THE
SOUTH. BY 18Z TODAY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 15 KT WITH
GUSTS UP TO 25 KT OUT OF THE SOUTH. THESE GUSTY WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY
00Z FRIDAY AND VEER MORE TOWARDS THE SW. BY 09Z FRIDAY SURFACE WINDS
AT KDHT AND KGUY ARE EXPECTED TO VEER TOWARDS THE WSW IN RESPONSE TO A
COLD FRONT ENTERING THE NORTHWESTERN PANHANDLES. THIS COLD FRONT IS
CURRENTLY PROJECTED TO REACH THE TERMINALS PAST THE END OF THIS TAF
ISSUANCE. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THIS TAF
ISSUANCE BUT THERE IS A BRIEF WINDOW FOR POSSIBLE MVFR OR IFR
CONDITIONS AT THE TERMINALS BETWEEN 9Z AND 12Z FRIDAY BUT CONFIDENCE
OF OCCURRENCE IS TOO LOW THIS FAR OUT TO MENTION IN THE TAF.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 330 AM CST THU DEC 12 2013/

DISCUSSION...
INCREASING HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS TODAY AS MID- AND HIGH-LEVEL MOISTURE
STREAMS IN FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST...DUE TO MODERATE TO STRONG
FLOW EAST OF CLOSED BAJA LOW.

THIS FEATURE EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND...OPENING UP AS IT CROSSES
SOUTHERN ARIZONA TONIGHT...WITH ITS REMNANTS PASSING SOUTH OF
FORECAST AREA ON FRIDAY.  DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT SETS UP SATURDAY
IN WAKE OF DEPARTING OPEN WAVE...WITH GENERALLY CLEAR SKY EXPECTED
SATURDAY NIGHT AND BEYOND.

ALL OF THIS SPELLS CONTINUED DRY FORECAST FOR PANHANDLES.  MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE CLIMO TODAY AND
FRIDAY.  COLD FRONT ARRIVES FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING...SETTING
MAXIMA BACK INTO THE 40S ON SATURDAY.  TEMPERATURES REBOUND NICELY ON
SUNDAY...WITH MAXIMA ABOVE CLIMO EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
03

COCKRELL

FIRE WEATHER...
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY BRIEFLY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
IN THE WESTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AS WELL AS THE
NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE.  NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS
EITHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 20 PERCENT AND/OR
20-FOOT WINDS REMAIN BELOW 15 MPH.  03

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

14/03