Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 240952
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
352 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Critical and elevated fire weather conditions at the forefront of
the forecast.  No precipitation expected next seven days.

Models and ensembles in reasonably good agreement through
Tuesday, with some timing differences emerging thereafter.

Widespread saturated low-level atmosphere in place early this
morning will be eradicated from west to east today as Pacific cold
front arrives.  Strong west winds aloft will mix to the surface,
with blowing dust possible this afternoon.  Canadian cold front
then arrives, with winds shifting to northwest.  High
temperatures today and Sunday close to normal.

Another shortwave trof passes on Sunday, acting to tighten
pressure gradient and keep atmosphere well mixed.  Flow aloft
becomes more zonal on Monday, leading to development of next lee
trof and increasing south and southwest winds.  High temperatures
on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday expected to be above normal with
highs mainly in the 60s.  Next cold front arrives late Wednesday
with a slight cooldown expected for Thursday.  Warmer again on
Friday.  03

Cockrell

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Critical fire weather conditions expected to develop today across
the southwest and south-central Texas Panhandle, with elevated
fire weather conditions adjacent to the the critical area.  Dry
west and northwest winds will increase as the Pacific and Canadian
cold fronts pass today.  RFTI values of 3 to 6 are expected in
the critical area.

On Sunday, elevated fire weather conditions are expected across
the southwest half of the Combined Panhandles, with spotty
critical fire weather conditions possibly developing.

On Monday, elevated to critical fire weather conditions are
likely to develop, especially across the northwest half of the
Combined Panhandles.

On Tuesday, elevated fire weather conditions may develop across
western parts of the Panhandles.

On Wednesday, elevated fire weather conditions will be possible
across the Texas Panhandle.

No elevated or critical fire weather conditions are expected
Thursday.

On Friday, elevated fire weather conditions may develop across the
northwest half of the Combined Panhandles.  03

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                54  22  54  22  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
Beaver OK                  47  18  53  17  64 /  10   0   0   0   0
Boise City OK              47  18  46  17  61 /   5   0   0   0   0
Borger TX                  54  26  55  26  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              56  20  55  17  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
Canyon TX                  54  20  55  19  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
Clarendon TX               58  25  59  23  65 /   5   0   0   0   0
Dalhart TX                 51  18  50  14  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
Guymon OK                  48  20  51  20  64 /  10   0   0   0   0
Hereford TX                53  21  56  19  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
Lipscomb TX                49  24  56  21  63 /  10   0   0   0   0
Pampa TX                   53  24  55  24  64 /   5   0   0   0   0
Shamrock TX                60  24  59  24  64 /  10   0   0   0   0
Wellington TX              62  27  61  25  66 /  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...Red Flag Warning from 10 AM this morning to 7 PM CST this
     evening for the following zones: Armstrong...Deaf Smith...
     Oldham...Potter...Randall.

OK...None.

&&

$$

29/03



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