Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FXUS65 KBOU 271610
AFDBOU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
1010 AM MDT SAT JUN 27 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1010 AM MDT SAT JUN 27 2015

QUIET MORNING ACROSS THE AREA UNDER SUNNY SKIES. DID LOWER SKY
COVER THIS MORNING TO ACCOUNT FOR THE CLEAR SKIES. THE REST OF
THE FORECAST APPEARS ON TRACK WITH JUST ISOLATED/WIDELY SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND PARK COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT )
ISSUED AT 212 AM MDT SAT JUN 27 2015

AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE GREAT BASIN WITH NNW
FLOW ALOFT OVER THE AREA.  PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL DECREASE
TODAY AND WITH SOME MID LVL WARMING ONLY EXPECT ISOLD TO WDLY SCT
AFTN/EVENING TSTMS MAINLY IN THE MTNS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-70 AND
OVER PARK COUNTY. ELSEWHERE WILL NOT MENTION ANY TSTMS. AS FOR
HIGHS LOOKS LIKE READINGS SHOULD BE 4 TO 5 DEGREES WARMER THAN
FRIDAYS LEVELS OVER NERN CO.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 212 AM MDT SAT JUN 27 2015

MODELS ARE KEEPING A STRONG UPPER RIDGE TO THE WEST OF THE
COLORADO THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THERE IS 40-60 KNOT NORTH-
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THERE IS
LITTLE SYNOPTIC SCALE ENERGY NOTED THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THE
BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS SHOULD HAVE AN EASTERLY COMPONENT TO THEM IN
THE DAY...THEN NORMAL DRAINAGE AT NIGHT ALL FOUR PERIODS. FOR
MOISTURE...THERE IS SOME ON THE CROSS SECTIONS...MOSTLY IN THE
MID AND UPPER LEVELS AND MORE SO OVER THE WESTERN TWO-THIRDS OF
THE CWA ALL FOUR PERIODS. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE PROGGED
IN THE 0.40-0.85 INCH RANGE SUNDAY...THEN THEY ARE UP A BIT INTO
THE 0.5-1.10 INCH RANGE ON MONDAY. THE BOUNDARY LAYER DEW POINT
PROGS SHOW MID 40S TO MID 50S F VALUES ALL FOUR PERIODS. THERE IS
SOME CAPE OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CWA LATE DAY SUNDAY...WITH
SOME VALUES ABOVE 1000 J/KG. MONDAY LOOKS SIMILAR WITH VERY LITTLE
OVER THE EASTERN CWA. IT`S MOSTLY IN THE HIGH COUNTRY.  THERE IS
MINOR AMOUNTS OF MEASURABLE RAINFALL OVER THE WESTERN CWA SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS BIT MORE PROGGED FOR LATE DAY
MONDAY IN THAT SAME AREA...WITH NOTHING OVER MOST OF THE PLAINS.
FOR POPS WILL GO WITH 30-40%S FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS BOTH
LATE DAYS PERIODS...WITH 0-10%S FOR THE PLAINS. FOR TEMPERATURES
...SUNDAY`S HIGHS ARE 0-2 C WARMER THAN TODAY`S. MONDAY`S HIGHS
ARE THE SAME AS SUNDAY`S. FOR THE LATER DAYS...TUESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY...MODELS KEEP THE UPPER RIDGE TO THE WEST OF COLORADO...AND
ACTUALLY PUSH IT FURTHER TO THE WEST BY LATER NEXT WEEK. NEVER THE
LESS...THE CWA STAYS IN NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WITH MAYBE A WEAK
COLD FRONT OR TWO THROUGH THOSE FOUR DAYS. MOISTURE IS FAIR...AND
WE`LL NEED SOME AMOUNT OF POPS IN THE LATE DAY PERIODS EVERY DAY.
NOTHING SIGNIFICANT HOWEVER. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE NEAR SEASONAL
NORMALS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 1010 AM MDT SAT JUN 27 2015

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS UNDER MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM OVER THE
MOUNTAINS WEST OF DENVER AND WILL REMAIN WEST OF THE AREA. WINDS
WILL BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE TODAY AND TONIGHT.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 212 AM MDT SAT JUN 27 2015

NO ISSUES EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.

&&

.BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...MEIER
SHORT TERM...RPK
LONG TERM...RJK
AVIATION...MEIER
HYDROLOGY...RPK


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