Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS65 KBOU 050956
AFDBOU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
356 AM MDT SAT JUL 5 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT )
ISSUED AT 356 AM MDT SAT JUL 5 2014

LATEST INTEGRATED PRECIPITABLE WATER TRENDS FROM GPS SHOW SOME
DRYING ACROSS NORTHEAST COLORADO WITH VALUES DOWN ABOUT 0.20 INCH
IN THE LAST 6 HOURS. AT THE SAME TIME...THERE IS STILL A DECENT
PLUME OF MOISTURE OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND WESTERN COLORADO...ALTHOUGH
THIS TOO SHOULD GRADUALLY LOWER TODAY AS BEST MOISTURE IS CONFINED
TO THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE WEAK UPPER LEVEL SPEED MAX. THIS SPEED
MAX WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY AS UPPER
RIDGE RETROGRADES SLIGHTLY INTO NORTHERN UTAH. THERE IS ALSO WEAK
SUBSIDENCE OVER NORTHEAST COLORADO WHICH WOULD KEEP THE PLAINS
CAPPED. HIGH COUNTRY SHOULD STILL SEE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORM
COVERAGE GIVEN ELEVATED HEAT SOURCE AND WEAKER CAP.

WITH REGARD TO TEMPS...WE WILL SEE MORE SUNSHINE AND A DRIER
AIRMASS. THIS WOULD LIKELY ALLOW A GOOD 3-4 DEGREES WARMING FROM
YESTERDAY. HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE MID/UPPER 90S EXPECTED ACROSS THE
PLAINS WITH A FEW OF THE LOWER ELEVATIONS APPROACHING 100F.
OVERALL...FEW CHANGES MADE TO EXISTING FORECAST.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 356 AM MDT SAT JUL 5 2014

IT SEEMS AS THOUGH THE MONSOON SEASON IS UPON US. A STRONG AND
BROAD UPPER RIDGE WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
UNITED STATES THROUGH ALL OF NEXT WEEK. BELOW THE WEAK FLOW
PATTERN OVER COLORADO AND THE FOUR-CORNERS REGION...SUB-TROPICAL
MOISTURE WILL ADVECT NORTHWARD INTO COLORADO. DAYTIME HEATING EACH
DAY WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE SHOWERS OVER THE MOUNTAINS WHICH
WILL THEN MOVE OUT ONTO THE PLAINS. THROUGHOUT THE WEEK WE WILL
HAVE TO BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR SLOW MOVING STORMS PRODUCING AREAS
OF HEAVY RAIN...BUT INITIALLY ANY THREAT OF FLOODING PROBLEMS IS
LOW. TEMPERATURES ARE GOING TO BE AROUND OR SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN
NORMAL...ESPECIALLY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 356 AM MDT SAT JUL 5 2014

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST. NO STORMS EXPECTED IN/NEAR THE FRONT
RANGE AIRPORTS WITH A DRIER AND SUBSIDENT AIRMASS KEEPING CAP IN
PLACE. ONLY A VERY SLIGHT 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF A GUSTY MICROBURST
21Z-01Z. NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWEST APPROACH GATES OVER THE
MOUNTAINS SHOULD STILL SEE SCATTERED STORMS 19Z-02Z. LIGHT
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL LIKELY TURN MORE NORTH/NORTHEAST 16Z-19Z BUT
REMAIN MOSTLY UNDER 12 KTS.

&&

.BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BARJENBRUCH
LONG TERM...DANKERS
AVIATION...BARJENBRUCH



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.