000
FXUS64 KLUB 200650
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
150 AM CDT Wed Sep 20 2017

.AVIATION...
40 knot low level jet resulting in some breezy winds early. Winds
will relax by 12-14z at TAF locations. A few mid level clouds
possible...otherwise VFR weather. Relatively high density
altitudes today.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 328 PM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017/

DISCUSSION...

Isolated thunderstorms are possible along the dryline this
afternoon and evening. Some storms may produce gusty winds and
hail but are expected to dissipate after sunset.

Drier air will move in through mid week ahead of the approaching
trough. Moisture will return starting on Friday and will continue
to increase through the weekend. With the deep trough extending
over most of the western US, models are showing a plume of
moisture extending from Minnesota down to New Mexico. This area of
moisture will move east through the weekend as the trough slowly
translates east. PoPs reflect this with 20-40% expected Saturday
for the western half of the CWA with more widespread coverage
(20-50%) on Sunday. There is potential for heavy rainfall with
this system as storms may be efficient rain producers. Models are
less clear on with the through exiting the area with some
moisture will linger through early next week.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

06/99/99