000
FXUS64 KLUB 102124
AFDLUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
324 PM CST TUE DEC 10 2013

.SHORT TERM...
VERY DRY AIRMASS WITH A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH ROUGHLY ALONG
THE TEXAS AND NEW MEXICO BORDER SLOWLY SAGGING SOUTHEASTWARD AND
DIRECTLY ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS AROUND THE MIDDLE OF THE NIGHT.
THIS WILL MAINTAIN LOW LEVEL SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST COMPONENT...VEERING
SLIGHTLY TO THE WEST LATE IN THE NIGHT AND SHOULD HELP KEEP
TEMPERATURES FROM CRATERING AS BADLY. ALSO...A BATCH OF HIGH CLOUDS
WILL SPREAD ACROSS TONIGHT. BUT ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL BE DASHING
SOUTHWARD OUT OF THE PANHANDLE AND THROUGH THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
PARTS OF THE AREA BEFORE DAYBREAK...PROBABLY EARLY ENOUGH TO DROP
MINIMUMS BACK INTO THE TEENS AGAIN ACROSS THE NORTHWEST. THIS FRONT
WILL CONTINUE TO THE SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY WITH A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGE NOSING ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. LATEST OBJECTIVE
TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE FOR WEDNESDAY HAS LOWERED MAXIMUMS SLIGHTLY AND
WE HAVE FOLLOWED WITH A ONE TO TWO DEGREE DROP FROM THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST. MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS IN THE MORNING WILL SETTLE DOWN
BY AFTERNOON...BUT THE NET RESULT WILL BE A COOLER DAY WITH HIGHS
TOPPING OUT MOSTLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. RMCQUEEN

.LONG TERM...
THE COLDEST AIR IN THE COUNTRY IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT SLOWLY
NORTHEAST OVER THE 5 TO 7 DAYS ALLOWING MILDER MORE SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES THURSDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. AFTERNOON
HIGH SHOULD BE MOSTLY IN THE 40S AND 50S THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
OF NEXT WEEK.

LOOKING WITH A LITTLE MORE DETAIL...AN UPPER LOW IN THE PACIFIC
TO THE WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MOVE EAST AND WEAKEN AS IT PASSES
THROUGH OUR AREA FRIDAY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WITH THIS SYSTEM
SHOULD BE CENTERED MOSTLY TO OUR EAST SINCE DRY WESTERLY SURFACE
WINDS WILL DOMINATE AREA WEATHER FRIDAY. FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF
THE UPPER LOW...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION
FRIDAY NIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOLLOWING THE FRONT. AS
SUCH...THE FRONT WILL HAVE MINIMAL IMPACT ON TEMPERATURES.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FRIONA        17  37  14  50  29 /   0   0   0   0  10
TULIA         20  35  14  48  29 /   0   0   0   0  10
PLAINVIEW     22  36  16  48  30 /   0   0   0   0  10
LEVELLAND     22  36  18  47  28 /   0   0   0  10  10
LUBBOCK       22  36  20  47  30 /   0   0   0  10  10
DENVER CITY   24  38  20  44  29 /   0   0   0  10  10
BROWNFIELD    24  38  20  44  29 /   0   0   0  10  10
CHILDRESS     21  34  15  42  31 /   0   0   0   0  10
SPUR          22  35  17  44  30 /   0   0   0  10  20
ASPERMONT     24  37  17  43  33 /   0   0   0  10  20

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

05/04