Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

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FXUS64 KLUB 192306

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
506 PM CST Sun Nov 19 2017

VFR will persist through the TAF period.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 144 PM CST Sun Nov 19 2017/

Dry and relatively quiet weather, with only a couple of brief
frontal intrusions, will prevail over the next week plus.

After a chilly start to the day today with lows mostly in the 20s
(even a few upper teens), we have seen southerly breezes and full
insolation allow afternoon readings to rebound well into the 50s
and lower 60s. Another chilly night will follow tonight though
most spots will be several degrees "warmer" than this morning.
Southwesterly downslope breezes beneath dry northwesterly flow
aloft will induce a more significant warm up tomorrow with highs
jumping back above average, into the upper 60s and lower 70s.
Shortwave energy diving down the lee side of a building western
ridge will drive a cold front through the southern High Plains
early Tuesday. The cooling doesn`t look too impressive, with
temperatures only dropping down to near average (give or take a
few degrees) Tuesday and Wednesday. However, the latest round of
NWP has trended stronger with the post-frontal winds, perhaps near
advisory levels for a stretch during the day Tuesday.

A return of well above average temperatures will follow late week
(including Turkey Day) as the western ridge flattens but
translates toward West Texas. Highs in the 70s will be common
Thursday and Friday with some spots perhaps pushing toward 80
degrees Friday afternoon. Our next FROPA should follow next
weekend taking an edge off of the warmth, though probably not
knocking temperatures much below average for late November.




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