Area Forecast Discussion
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178
FXUS64 KLUB 041041
AFDLUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
441 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016

.SHORT TERM...
LIGHT FLURRIES INDICATED ON RADAR HAVE GRADUALLY ERODED OVERNIGHT
AND SHOULD CLEAR BY SUNRISE. TEMPERATURES HAVE DROPPED BEHIND THE
LIGHT SNOW ACTIVITY AS CLOUDS CLEARED AND WINDS EASED. TEMPS ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AND TX/NM BORDER HAVE DROPPED INTO THE TEENS
WITH LOCATIONS STILL RECEIVING SOME CLOUD COVER SLOWER TO COOL.

LOW AMPLITUDE UA RIDGING WILL TRAVERSE THE REGION AS WE GO THROUGH
THE DAY TODAY. A PLEASANT DAY AHEAD WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
SHIFTING FROM WEST TEXAS TOWARD THE TEXAS HILL COUNTRY RESULTING IN
LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS DEVELOPING IN ITS WAKE. THIS WILL
ALLOW FOR GRADUAL WARMING BACK TOWARD SEASONAL NORMS...MID 50S...
UNDER AMPLE SUNSHINE UNTIL LATE IN THE DAY WHEN SOME HIGH CLOUDS
BEGIN TO FILL IN ON THE WESTERN HORIZON AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH PUSHES
ACROSS CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

.LONG TERM...
A QUICK MOVING SHORT WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH
THE PANHANDLE TOWARD NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. WE ARE NOT EXPECTING ANY PRECIPITATION WITH
THE PASSAGE OF THIS SYSTEM BUT SHOULD SEE A COLD FRONT PASSING
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON BRINGING GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS FOR LATE
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH BY SATURDAY
PROVIDING A PLEASANT DAY WITH HIGHS NEAR 60. THE NEXT FRONT TO
MOVE THROUGH THE REGION IS EXPECTED SUNDAY MORNING...BUT THIS
SYSTEM LACKS ANY SIGNIFICANT PUNCH. HIGHS BOTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY
BEHIND THE SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER
60S.

FOR THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK WE EXPECT A STRONG WARM RIDGE TO
BUILD OVER THE WEST COAST WHILE COLD AIR POURS INTO THE EASTERN
PART OF THE COUNTRY...EAST OF THE ROCKIES. LOCALLY WE SHOULD
REMAIN NEAR THE DIVIDING LINE BETWEEN THE COOLER AIR TO THE EAST
AND MUCH WARMER DESERT AIR TO OUR WEST. TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN
MILD AND NO PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST. LIPE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
BRIEFLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL FRIDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO
STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT. HOWEVER HUMIDITIES
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

55/04



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