Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS64 KLUB 211716

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1216 PM CDT FRI OCT 21 2016

VFR conditions will persist.


PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 251 AM CDT FRI OCT 21 2016/

A cool surface ridge in place across the southern plains this
morning will shift eastward today, replaced by lee-troughing.
Southwest breezes will pick up across the southwest Panhandle and
western South Plains this afternoon in response to the falling
pressure. Aloft, dry west-northwest flow will continue across the
region as an upper ridge noses in from the west. The result will be
quiet, almost cloudless, weather across the forecast area today and
tonight. After a chilly start, temperatures will rise into the lower
to middle 70s, just slightly on the cool side for late October.
Lows will be mainly in the 40s tonight under mostly clear skies.

Upper level ridging is the story for the long term this morning.
The prevalence of this feature will result in warm temperatures,
particularly during the day, and little chance for precipitation.
The exception through this six day period will be Tuesday when a
low-amplitude mid/upper level trough moves across the northern and
central plains. This will break down the ridge enough to bring
temperatures closer to, but still warmer than, seasonal normals.
Precipitation chances with this trough continue to shrink with
only an outside possibility of the southwestern end of a line of
convection brushing the far northeastern corner of the forecast
area Tuesday night.


.LUB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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