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442
FXUS65 KPUB 261717
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1117 AM MDT MON SEP 26 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 406 AM MDT Mon Sep 26 2016

...Dry with Seasonal Temperatures...

Dry northerly flow will continue over Colorado for the next 24
hours.  Upper high pressure will keep moisture suppressed well to
south.  The airmass over Colorado will be a little warmer than
yesterday.  After a day of below average temperatures yesterday,
readings today will climb back to near average.  Afternoon highs
will be in the 70s across the plains, the 60s to mid 70s high
valleys and 40s and 50s mountains.  The airmass will continue
warming tonight. As a result, lows Tuesday morning will not be quite
as cool as those this morning.  Generally 40s are expected across
the plains with mostly 30s mountains and high valleys.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 406 AM MDT Mon Sep 26 2016

Very little change to the ongoing extended forecast grids, though
latest model runs are slowing the onset of pcpn by about 12 hours.

Tuesday and Wednesday...Models continue to show a ridge of high
pressure over much of the western US through about mid-week, while a
closed low slowly migrates north over the CA Baja. Colorado is
expected to remain dry through at least the first half of Wed,
though most recent model solutions are now indicating dry conditions
perhaps through all of Wed. Look for max temps in the 80s for the
plains, and 70s for the high valleys.

Thursday through Sunday...The upper ridge shifts to the east
starting Wed, as the closed low moves up across AZ and NV. Moisture
will be drawn up across the 4 Corners, with pcpn moving into the
CONTDVD overnight Wed into early Thu morning. This disturbance will
cross the Great Basin on Thu, spreading showers across all of the
higher terrain and the adjacent plains Thu night through Fri.
Another stronger low pressure trough will cross the Pacific NW
starting Sat, continuing the threat for showers across the higher
terrain and especially the central mts through Sun. As for temps,
models persist with readings slightly above normal, with highs in
the 80s for the plains, and 70s for the high valleys. Moore

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1116 AM MDT Mon Sep 26 2016

With an upper level ridge being over the area, the weather will be
dry with VFR conditions expected over the next 24 hrs.

&&

.PUB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LW
LONG TERM...MOORE
AVIATION...28