Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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FXUS65 KPUB 240956

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
356 AM MDT Tue Oct 24 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 356 AM MDT Tue Oct 24 2017

...Cool, Dry Northerly Flow...

Cool, dry northerly flow over southern Colorado next 24 hours. Brisk
northwest winds along the Kansas border today but lighter winds as
you head westward.  Another day of cooler than average temperatures
across the plains with afternoon highs generally 5 to 10 degrees
below average.  For the mountains and high valleys, where the front
had trouble penetrating, temperatures will actually be near to above
average today.  Plenty of sunshine across the forecast area with no
precipitation expected.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 356 AM MDT Tue Oct 24 2017

Wednesday...Northwest flow aloft will become more westerly through
the day as the next upper disturbance nears Colorado. Look for
another dry day with much warmer temps due to the increasing
downslope winds. Temps will climb into the 60s to around 70F for the
high valleys, and 70s to around 80F for the eastern plains.

Thursday and Friday...An upper disturbance drops down across the
northern Rockies late Wed night, moving into Colorado Thu morning.
Models have trended towards a much weaker system the past day or
two, so this is expected to be a quick shot of precip and cold air
for the forecast area from approximately midday Thu to midday Fri.
Isolated rain is forecast to start over the Palmer Divide and
central mts late morning, then spread to the south and east with the
best chance for precip from 18z Thu to 12z Fri. Rain and snow will
taper off late Fri aftn as cold but dry northerly flow then settles
in across the forecast area. Max temps Thu are forecast to only
climb into the mid 50s to lower 60s, then Fri will be the coldest
day of the extended period with highs in the 40s to around 50F. At
this time, snowfall amounts may range from 5 to 7 inches above 10k
feet for Pikes Peak and the e mts, and up to 3 inches for the lower
elevations of the central mts, Wet mts, Sangre de Cristo mts, and
the Rampart Range.

Saturday through Monday...Dry and gradually warmer under north to
northwest flow aloft. Expect highs in the upper 50s and 60s, with
Sunday most likely the warmer day of the three. Moore


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday morning)
Issued at 356 AM MDT Tue Oct 24 2017

Dry, northerly flow across flight area next 24 hours.  Brisk
northwest winds along the Kansas border today but lighter winds as
you head westward.  VFR all areas including KCOS, KPUB and KALS TAF




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