


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
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202 FXUS63 KPAH 301646 AFDPAH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 1146 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Scattered to numerous showers/storms today bring a marginal risk of flooding rains and damaging winds. - A drier trend continues for Independence Day with seasonal highs in the lower 90s. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 125 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025 With deep, rich, boundary layer moisture in place, the approach of a cold front and its supportive upper energy thereof, we`ll see scattered to numerous showers and storms develop today, esp after daybreak when instability peaks with increasing temperatures. PW`s remain AOA 2" so the heavy rain potential will include a risk of localized flooding, but that`ll be mostly for a repeat storm or stalled storm scenario, which will be more isolated, thus precluding sweeping broader scale headlines at this writing. A locally stronger storm may see a gusty wind threat (5% chance) this afternoon into this evening. The models continue to show a fropa tonight but may linger pops into Tuesday as the upper trof follows soon thereafter with its passage. Once that occurs, we go drier and a little cooler for the mid week, with highs in the upper 80s and dew points in the upper 60s. After the mid week respite, we return to seasonal 90/70 on highs/dew points heading into next weekend, when daily (mainly diurnal) pops likewise return. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 1139 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025 Low cigs (MVFR/IFR) have been slow to lift, especially at KEVV/KOWB, but should transition to VFR by around 19z. Isolated showers and storms are possible this afternoon, but models are trending towards higher coverage this evening into early overnight (00-07z). Therefore, with chances too low at any one terminal this afternoon have left TSRA mention out until after 00z. WSW winds this afternoon switch around to the NW tomorrow morning behind the frontal passage overnight. Guidance is hinting at some MVFR cigs tomorrow morning, particularly across west KY. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Previous Fcter AVIATION...SP