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000
FXUS63 KPAH 290339
AFDPAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
940 PM CST Thu Nov 28 2013

.UPDATE...
Temps/dewpoints appear to be behaving tonight as temps drop toward
lows in the lower 20s. A very weak sfc wind shift/pressure trof will
continue to pass through the region overnight, giving very light
winds a nrly component initially. As a new high pressure ridge
nudges into the PAH forecast area later Fri morning, winds will turn
more to the east.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Friday)
ISSUED AT 301 PM CST THU NOV 28 2013

Models show a weak cold front moving into the PAH forecast area
tonight and washing out. The front has no moisture to work with,
so we are not really even expecting any significant clouds with
its arrival. The only effect will be winds shifting to the north
overnight, then gradually shifting back to the south Friday night
as high pressure drifts east across the Great lakes region. For
tonight, with clear skies and light north winds, another night of
well below average temperatures is expected with lows in the lower
20s. High temperatures on Friday will be similar to today, in the
lower to middle 40s. With the return of south winds Friday night
into Saturday night, temperatures will moderate to near seasonal
readings Saturday and Saturday night.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Thursday)
ISSUED AT 301 PM CST THU NOV 28 2013

The med range models continue in reasonable agreement in the
extended period.

By Sunday, a very weak sfc front/trof will be approaching from
the west. Weak lift associated with a mid level shrtwv may allow
for for a few sprinkles into Mon...but not really worth a mention.

The current model solutions suggest that after a possible lull
Mon/Tuesday, warm advection rains appear possible later Tue night
and esp on Wed/Thu as low pressure begins to wind up over the srn
Plains, and drags a warm front across the region.

&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED AT 518 AM CST THU NOV 28 2013

VFR throughout as Arctic High Pressure drifts slowly east to the
East Coast.


&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RST
LONG TERM...GM
UPDATE...DB