Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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FXUS63 KPAH 201942
AFDPAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
242 PM CDT Mon Oct 20 2014

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Wednesday night)
Issued at 240 PM CDT MON OCT 20 2014

Seasonably chilly high pressure will take over for this time
period. With nearly clear conditions expected, the dry air will
likely warm to the warmer end of the forecast model envelope. Night
times may be a little cooler than guidance tho. Could actually be
some light frost by the mid week time frame in normally colder
locations.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 240 PM CDT MON OCT 20 2014

Models show an upper level ridge over the region will gradually
break down Thursday. This will allow a weak trof to move across the
middle Mississippi and lower Ohio valleys Thursday night into
Friday.  Latest ECMWF produces a smattering of minimal QPF in our
area, but the previous ECMWF along with the latest GFS and GEM keep
our region dry.  Dry weather will continue into the weekend as huge
ridge of high pressure builds over a majority of the U.S.  The ridge
will gradually slide east of our area by early next week, but the
dry conditions should persist into Monday.

Winds will shift to the south Thursday, and temperatures will
gradually warm into the weekend.  Slightly below to near seasonal
readings can be expected Thursday and Friday, then temperatures will
level off a few degrees above normal for the weekend into next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 1240 PM CDT MON OCT 20 2014

Other than some late night MVFR fog conditions at KCGI/KPAH,
expect VFR conditions throughout the TAF time frame. Could be some
MIFG from 07-13z at KCGI.


&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MEFFERT
LONG TERM...RST
AVIATION...MEFFERT





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