Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 071511
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1011 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

.DISCUSSION...

MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS PERSIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS
MORNING...WHILE PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS REMAIN COMMON ACROSS
NORTHERN LOUISIANA. MAX TEMPS WILL ONLY REACH THE UPPER 80S WHERE
CLOUDS PERSIST...AND WILL RISE INTO THE LOWER TO MID 90S WHERE THE
SUN PROVIDES MORE INSOLATION. THE CURRENT FORECAST PACKAGE HAS A
GOOD HANDLE ON THE CURRENT TRENDS...THUS NO CHANGES WILL BE MADE
TO THE LATE MORNING PACKAGE.

ELEVEN

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 730 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015/

AVIATION...
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE THIS MORNING WILL PROVIDE A MIX OF MVFR/IFR FOR
MUCH OF DEEP EAST TEXAS INTO PARTS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS AND
NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA. OTHER SITES HAVE VFR BUT
MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR AS THE CLOUDS SPREAD NORTHEAST.
VFR WILL PREVAIL FOR THE LOWER CATEGORIES BY MID TO LATE
MORNING...AND REMAIN UNTIL AROUND 08/08-08/14Z WEDNESDAY WHEN LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE RETURNS MVFR AND IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE SOUTHERLY 7-14 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS FROM
15Z-22Z WITH SPEEDS LOWERING TO 4-10 KNOTS UNTIL 09/14Z WEDNESDAY
WITH THE SURFACE WIND SPEEDS INCREASE TO 7-14Z. /06/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015/

DISCUSSION...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STRECHING ACROSS CENTRAL TX AND OK...WILL
GRADUALLY MOVE EAST TODAY...BRINGING A SATURATED AIRMASS WITH PCPN
WATER VALUES WELL ABOVE 2 INCHES...ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL
POSITION. KEEPING AREAS NORTH OF I-30 IN CHANCE POPS...WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD COVERAGE EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST NORTH OF THE AREA.
ISOLD POPS TO EXTEND TO MAINLY JUST NORTH OF I-20...WITH LOW LVL
DRY LAYERS FURTHER SOUTH. AS THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE
EAST...RAIN CHANCES WILL DIMINISH LATER THIS WEEK...EXCEPT FOR
POSSIBLE SEA BREEZE SOUTH OF I-20...WITH ANY WEAK EASTERLY WAVES
THAT MAY UNDERCUT THE UPPER RIDGE. BEGINNING WEDNESDAY...HIGHS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 90S CAN BE EXPECTED AREAWIDE...WITH SOME TEMPS
CREEPING UPWARDS INTO THE UPPER 90S TOWARDS THE WKND AS UPPER
RIDGE OVHD...AND GROUND CONTINUES TO DRY OUT WHERE RAIN DOES NOT
OCCUR./VII/.

&&

.PREVIOUS POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  93  76  93  74 /  10  10  10  10
MLU  93  76  93  74 /  10  10  10  10
DEQ  88  73  89  71 /  30  30  20  10
TXK  91  76  92  73 /  20  20  10  10
ELD  92  75  92  73 /  10  10  10  10
TYR  91  76  92  73 /  10  10  10  10
GGG  93  75  93  74 /  10  10  10  10
LFK  93  76  94  73 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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