Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 170234
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
934 PM CDT Mon Oct 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Even our hourly trends are doing quite well under clear skies. The
center of the 1028mb high is at Paris TX and will tumble and drift
E during Tuesday across the mid south and sprawl in along the
Appalachians. No changes needed to lows or any other elements at
this time. /24/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 630 PM CDT Mon Oct 16 2017/

AVIATION...
As high pressure settles across the region, northeast winds to
become 6 knots or less across area terminals overnight. On
Tuesday, winds to increase to around 7 to 10 knots. Otherwise,
VFR conditions to prevail through the terminal forecast period.
/05/

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 350 PM CDT Mon Oct 16 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Much cooler and drier air will remain entrenched across the area
as a 1030 plus sfc high. Good radiational cooling will send
overnight lows into the 40s areawide, and with overnight lows near
40 last night over se OK, expect more favorable conditions to send
temps into the upper 30s for much of area north of I-30, where
patchy light frost may also occur. Tuesday night may get as cool
across much of area although best sfc based inversion will likely
occur further south, with overnight lows still in the 40s, but
closer to uniformity across area. Thus, cooler NAM guidance more
in line with fcst. Sfc high only slightly drifts east of MS river
by Wed, with sunny skies still holding thru mid week and mostly
sunny thru Thu and aftn highs just reaching around 80 degrees
again. Models in less agreement going into the wknd regarding the
timing and position of where approaching sfc low will become
cutoff, but likely or greater pops and locally heavy rain remain
a possibility depending on this parameter. But will maintain only
high chance pops until the picture becomes more apparent./07/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  45  74  46  79 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  46  74  48  77 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  38  72  43  76 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  42  73  45  77 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  41  72  44  78 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  44  75  49  79 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  43  75  47  79 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  45  76  49  79 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

24/05/07



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