Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 240334
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
934 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

.DISCUSSION...
PATCHY LIGHT RAINFALL IS FINALLY SLOWLY EXITING THE CWA TO THE
SOUTH AND EAST. CLEARING SKIES LAGGING ONLY SLIGHTLY
WESTWARD...WITH CLOUDS DECREASING OR GONE FOR MOST OF AREA. HAVE
UPDATED TO REMOVE RAIN...FURTHER DECREASE CLOUDINESS...AND RAISE
OVERNIGHT LOWS JUST A DEGREE OR TWO FOR PORTIONS OF THE
REGION...AS LIGHT WEST WINDS APPEAR TO KEEP MIXING TOGETHER FOR
DURATION OF THE NIGHT. FOG DEVELOPING AT KELD APPEARS TO BE
LOCALIZED...AND MOST LIKELY ALSO OF SHORT DURATION...AS BREEZE
EXPECTED TO PICK UP THERE SLIGHTLY AS WELL. /VII/.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 534 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

AVIATION...
LOOK FOR CONTINUED IMPROVEMENT TO CIGS THIS EVENING...AS THE
PARENT UPPER TROUGH CENTERED OVER E TX ATTM...QUICKLY SHIFTS E TO
THE MS RIVER BY 06Z SATURDAY. THIS QUICK EXIT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL
RESULT IN THE AREAS OF -RA EXITING THE MLU TERMINAL BY 02Z...AND
THE REMAINDER OF NCNTRL LA BY LATE EVENING. SHOULD SEE VFR CIGS
RETURNING TO THESE AREAS BY MID-EVENING AS WELL...WITH A CONTINUED
DECREASE IN AC/CIRRUS FROM NW TO SE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS SATURDAY. CAN/T RULE OUT SOME PATCHY FG DEVELOPMENT MAINLY
OVER DEEP E TX POSSIBLY AFFECTING THE LFK TERMINAL...WHERE WINDS WILL BE
LT/VRB. ELSEWHERE...THERE MAY BE JUST ENOUGH WIND TO OFFSET THE
PATCHY FG DEVELOPMENT AS THE SKY CLEARS LATE. SHOULD SEE A RETURN
OF CIRRUS FROM THE WSW BY MID TO LATE MORNING SATURDAY...AFFECTING
AREAS ALONG/S OF I-20 FOR THE AFTERNOON. WNW WINDS AROUND 5KTS
TONIGHT WILL BECOME MORE W AND INCREASE SLIGHTLY TO 5-8KTS AFTER
15Z. /15/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 321 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

DISCUSSION...
UPPER LOW OVER TX IS THE PROMINENT FEATURE IN THE WV IMAGERY...AND
THIS CONTINUES TO GENERATE RAINFALL ACROSS THE SERN HALF OF OUR
REGION. THE TROF WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EWD TONIGHT...BRINGING
RAINFALL TO AN END BY LATE TONIGHT. SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO CLEAR
ACCORDINGLY...ALLOWING FOR US TO COOL DOWN INTO THE UPPER 20S TO
LOW 30S OVERNIGHT.

NW FLOW ALOFT WILL OVERTAKE THE LOWER MS VALLEY AS WE MOVE INTO
SATURDAY...WITH THE UPPER RIDGE REMAINING ANCHORED OVER THE WRN
U.S. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE WILL DIVE DOWN THE OH RIVER VALLEY DURING
SUNDAY...BRINGING US A REINFORCING SHOT DRY AIR. HOWEVER...LITTLE
TO NO MOISTURE RECOVERY AHEAD OF THIS DISTURBANCE WILL KEEP OUR
FCST RAIN-FREE.

THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BECOME ANCHORED OVER TX AS WE MOVE LATER INTO
THE WORK WEEK...WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP THE FCST DRY. OUR NEXT
SHOT AT RAINFALL WILL COME BEYOND THE DAY 7 TIMEFRAME. WITH PLENTY
OF SUNSHINE AND CLOUD-FREE DAYS...TEMPS WILL HOVER SEVERAL DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE FCST PD. /12/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  34  59  38  65  40 /  10   0   0   0   0
MLU  33  57  37  64  40 /  10   0   0   0   0
DEQ  29  58  32  63  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  31  57  38  63  40 /  10   0   0   0   0
ELD  30  57  35  62  38 /  10   0   0   0   0
TYR  34  58  38  64  41 /  10   0   0   0   0
GGG  33  59  37  65  39 /  10   0   0   0   0
LFK  36  60  37  66  41 /  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$






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