Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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888
FXUS64 KSHV 201637
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1037 AM CST Mon Feb 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Only slight modifications to the forecast this morning. Went ahead
and decreased thunderstorm mention to isolated with primary
weather type being showers. Airmass across east Texas and
Southeast Oklahoma has been stabilized due to ongoing rainfall
across these area. Otherwise, could see isolated thunderstorms
across north Louisiana and south Arkansas later this afternoon as
upper-trough migrates east. /05/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 657 AM CST Mon Feb 20 2017/

AVIATION...
For the 20/12Z TAFs, a wide range of cigs/vsbys to begin this TAF
period but the trend will be for deteriorating conditions areawide
this morning as showers and isolated thunderstorms spread farther
east across the region. MVFR conditions will dominate much of the
period with some occasional IFR at times. Winds have been erratic
this morning with the initial wave of convection over the western
half of the region, but the trend will be toward a more southerly
component before a cold front shifts east across the area later on
tonight. Expect convection to begin tapering off at our E TX sites
late this afternoon through early evening while lingering through
the overnight hours across SW AR and N LA as wrap-around moisture
will be slow to exit. This will allow MVFR/IFR conditions to come
back into the picture after midnight with patchy fog developing
and isolated showers still possible through the end of the period.

/19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  72  55  70  53 /  90  80  30  10
MLU  79  58  68  56 /  40  90  50  20
DEQ  68  52  71  45 / 100  50  30  10
TXK  69  54  69  49 / 100  80  30  10
ELD  74  55  68  53 /  60  90  50  20
TYR  68  54  74  50 / 100  30  10   0
GGG  68  54  71  51 / 100  50  20  10
LFK  69  55  75  53 / 100  50  20  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

05/05



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