Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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958
FXUS64 KSHV 271740
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1240 PM CDT SAT AUG 27 2016

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions will prevail across the ArkLaTex through this
evening. However...scattered showers and thunderstorms are
starting to develop over east Texas...and may impact
KTYR...KGGG...and KLFK through 03z...with local mvfr or ifr
conditions possible in heavier showers and thunderstorms. KSHV may
also be impacted by these showers as well...but will need to watch
because of lower confidence. Although the shower and thunderstorm
activity will decrease after sunset...patchy MVFR visibilities
and ceilings will likely develop between 9z and 12z...potentially
impacting the tafs sites as well. Palmer

&&

.DISCUSSION.../issued 1045 AM CDT SAT AUG 27 2016/
Very little changes needed this morning, as the fcst is on track
for the most part. Still expecting to see upper 80s to low 90s
areawide, with convection developing again in the vc of a weak
upper low centered along the TX/LA coast. Have adjusted pops up
just a bit across our wrn and srn areas as model output seems to
indicate that these areas will see the best coverage of convection
today. Drier mid level air filtering in from the e will keep
activity to a minimum over our ern areas of srn AR/n central LA.
/12/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  93  74  93  74 /  20  20  30  20
MLU  93  75  94  75 /  10  20  30  20
DEQ  92  72  91  73 /  30  30  20  10
TXK  92  73  92  74 /  20  20  20  20
ELD  92  72  94  74 /  10  20  20  10
TYR  90  73  90  74 /  40  20  30  20
GGG  91  74  91  74 /  40  20  30  20
LFK  87  74  89  74 /  40  20  30  20

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...None.

&&

$$

28/12



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