Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 262244
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
544 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2016

.AVIATION...
Still dealing with a few isolated showers across S Ar and Ne La
early this evening as convection has dissipated quite early. Cu
field should continue to dissipate through the evening as well.
Introduced some patchy 3-5sm vsbys in the form of tempo groups
at a few terminals in the 27/10-13z timeframe for Monday.
Otherwise expect a rapid development in cu in the 14-16z timeframe
with VCTS across most terminal locations in the 17-19z timeframe.

Winds will be from the south across our Ne Tx terminals overnight
less than 7kts with winds becoming light elsewhere. Mostly
variable winds across our terminal locations during the day Monday
with speeds less than 10kts. If convection becomes as scattered as
it should be Monday afternoon...then we will likely see stronger
gusts in association with convective outflow boundaries.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 349 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2016/

DISCUSSION...
An early start with hot and muggy conditions. Two very nice
outflow boundaries can be seen this mid afternoon on our KSHV 88D.
Most notably...just South of the Shreveport/Bossier Metro area
sagging into Grand Cane and and the other one is just South of
Ringgold, Lucky and Ruston. Movement of both is to the South at 10
mph. So some additional development may occur on these or other
hot spots around the local area until about sunset.

Overall, little has changed this model run with still better
coverage expectations into the new work week with the help of a
washing out back door cold front into Wednesday. So, the battle
of temps and RH will linger for the rest of the month of June with
hopefully just below HX advisory criteria. We will dry out and
heat up into weekend with another back door frontal approach for
the Fourth of July. /24/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  77  93  76  91 /  20  30  30  50
MLU  77  93  75  90 /  20  40  40  60
DEQ  73  92  73  92 /  20  40  40  40
TXK  76  93  74  91 /  20  30  40  40
ELD  75  92  73  90 /  20  40  40  50
TYR  76  93  75  93 /  20  30  20  50
GGG  75  93  74  91 /  20  30  20  50
LFK  75  94  74  92 /  20  30  20  60

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

24/13



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