Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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745
FXUS64 KSHV 211919
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
219 PM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

.AVIATION...
For the 21/18Z TAF period, a mix of MVFR/low VFR cigs observed
this afternoon with a gradual deterioration in flight conditions
expected over the next 24 hours with the impending landfall of
T.S. Cindy over the northern Gulf. Cigs should remain generally
unchanged through late afternoon and early evening hours before
rapidly lowering around midnight through early Thursday morning.
MVFR/IFR cigs will be prevalent for the rest of the period as
showers begin to increase from the south and east with landfall of
Cindy around daybreak Thursday. Showers and embedded thunderstorms
will expand in coverage and intensity by late morning with vsbys
likely dropping to MVFR. Breezy NE winds winds may slack off just
slightly overnight but quickly increase with Cindy`s landfall by
22/12Z. Sustained speeds will range from 12-18 kts with gusts in
excess of 20-25 kts after 22/15Z through Thursday afternoon.

/19/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1055 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017/

DISCUSSION...
TS Cindy continues to move nwd towards the TX/LA Gulf Coast this
morning. Only a few light shwrs associated with the far outer
rainbands currently moving across our N central LA parishes attm.
Current thinking is that convection will eventually fill in more
by later this afternoon, as daytime heating aids and Cindy moves
closer. Winds have not quite beefed up just yet, but expect that
they will by this afternoon. That said, will not be making any
updates attm. Look for a more full discussion and perhaps some
more changes in the afternoon package. /12/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  86  74  82  74 /  40  70  90  90
MLU  83  74  83  76 /  50  70  90  90
DEQ  90  72  83  73 /  10  30  70  70
TXK  88  73  83  73 /  20  50  80  80
ELD  85  73  82  74 /  30  50  80  80
TYR  89  74  84  74 /  10  60  80  80
GGG  88  73  83  74 /  20  60  90  90
LFK  87  75  83  76 /  30  70  90  90

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Lake Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for ARZ072-073.

LA...Lake Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ001>006-
     010>014-017>022.

     Flash Flood Watch from 7 PM CDT this evening through Friday
     morning for LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022.

OK...None.
TX...Lake Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ126-137-
     138-149>153-165>167.

     Flash Flood Watch from 7 PM CDT this evening through Friday
     morning for TXZ124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.

&&

$$

19/12



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